Former CIA officer Robert Baer said last week that he has held exchanges with Iranian military and paramilitary officials and that he has understood Tehran's deterrence doctrine as a result.
Baer, speaking at the National Defense University, said Iran does not trust the United Nations because it learned from the experience with Saddam Hussein that opening up the country to U.N. inspections will not stave off an invasion.
Additionally, Iran's deterrence doctrine calls for fighting its wars outside of the country. "You cannot defend fixed positions against the American military; therefore, do not try to defend with armor, with conventional forces inside your country. Fight your wars elsewhere. Fight them with asymmetrical warfare. Use proxies," Baer said.
If Iran is attacked by the United States or Israel, it will respond by attacking abroad, for example against U.S. troops in Iraq or Afghanistan, or against the U.S. Navy or oil facilities in Bahrain, closing the Strait of Hormuz, or through proxies in Gaza, the West Bank or Lebanon.
This is actually good news. If this is their operating theory, it means that they truly believe any operation Israel undertakes IS an American operation, and they will go to the maximum effort against us, everywhere. This, far from being some kind of ...whew.... Israel will be protected sigh of relief, is in fact a thankfulness that the USA will not be given a choice about ELIMINATING IRAN'S REGIME. It will be them or us in the Middle East.
Also, the Iranians are prepared to accept "maximum danger to Iran," Baer said, noting that this lesson was learned from Saddam after he survived the 1991 Persian Gulf War.
They think we will occupy Iran, exposing ourselves?
There?
Trash it. Give the Iranians a chance for something else.
Leave a sign.
"DON'T MAKE US COME BACK. YOU WILL LIKE IT LESS THAN THIS TIME"
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