I’ve been thinking about Trump-mania. And have come to this
conclusion.
Both liberals and conservatives are getting Trump wrong by
comparing his summer fling to those of Herman Cain and Rudy
Giuliani saying he is a flash in the pan and will be gone when the summer is
over.
I don’t believe it. Here’s why.
The mood of the country has changed. It has seen what 7
years of an absolute unfettered reign of Leftist Progressivism - helped by a
lapdog liberal media and a RHINO congress - has been imposed on the country and
a large majority doesn’t like it.
Because this is what separates the Cain’s and Giuliani’s
and other flash in the pans from Trump. They’re movements and popularity was AGENDA driven. Trump’s popularity with the electorate across
the board is ANGER driven and the lack so far of
broad policies – which he is criticized for - is SECONDARY to Trumps supporters right now. He is expressing their anger and every time an
edict comes from the Obama regime – they get angrier.
What Trump SAYS
is more important than bullet point polices to his supporters. They see a man who
gets things done – who can lead – and will translate their anger into policies
later. Cain’s and Giuliani’s campaign had a gentlemanly
Republican approach in the face of bullying liberalism. A large portion of the electorate
has had enough of the gentlemanly approach and want a no holds barred fighter who will take on the Leftist tyranny of the minority.
The politicos are unable to understand this. They are in
their little bubbles and do not feel or see the anger in the electorate – or
schlep it off as just a bunch of crazies.
Will Trump be that flash in the pan as his detractors
predict? It depends on how angry the electorate is - and will be - with another
year of the Obama regime and his threat to continued implementing his far left
agenda of radically changing America.
Good points. Both Rudy and Herman were whimsical attractions while the Donald's appeal is obviously visceral. Rudy and Herman addressed generalized conservative desires and complaints while Trump hammers specific issues that a significant portion of the public understand are of crucial importance.
ReplyDeleteAs long his issues remain to the fore, and the democrats and media fail to shame them to the sidelines, then then Donald will remain front and center.
He does need to acquire the discipline to avoid wasting time on personal vendettas and protracted spitball fights with Prima Donna media strumpets. If he keeps that focus, and he doesn't let slip that he's not really serious, that he's on an ego trip, he has a real shot at the nomination.
It's not totally undirected anger.
ReplyDeleteI think it's somewhat issue by issue, as well as general wrath.
For instance, one of the issues which allows Trump to SEIZE the attention of the public is Immigration. He speaks plainly clearly and he embodies the will of the people in manner that has been shown to be true by poll after poll.
Americans really do hate illegal immigration.
Only our politicians, media, academia, and businessmen like it.
Also consider the fact that Trump is financing his own campaign and isn't beholding to RNC or GoPe in any way.
ReplyDeleteFrom another angle - read Conservative Treehouse's analysis, "GoPe Road-mapped 'Splitter Strategy" - which is quite plausible:
RNC/GOPe changed the rules of the 2016 primary election to benefit Jeb Bushby changing the dates and delegate distributions to insure their guy could win with around 1/5th (20%) support.The specific road map they created had primary calendar dates and delegate distributions as the essential measure. Hence, internal polls were conducted in the key states that would be needed for the plan.
If FL was a contest between Jeb & Walker a polled outcome might be Bush 45% – Walker 55%
Or, if FL was a contest between Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz the outcome might be
Bush 40% – Cruz 60% So, in this example, Florida, if you want Bush to win you need to change the options.
If you test out Bush, Walker and Cruz. The outcome might be:
Bush 30% – Cruz 35% – Walker 35%
Your guy is still losing but the race is closer. So you put another factor into the equation: Bush 25% – Rand Paul 10% – Cruz 35% – Walker 30%
Your guy still losing. So you put another factor into the polled equation: Bush 25% – Rand Paul 10% – Cruz 25% – Walker 20% – Marco Rubio 20%
OK, better. Rubio becomes “the splitter“. With the race successfully split, now you need to “fracture” the biggest challenger within the group:
Bush 25% – Paul 8% – Cruz 22% – Walker 19% – Rubio 20% – Rick Perry 6%
BINGO ! Bush wins. Notice Bush didn’t win by gaining support, he won by fracturing his opponents support. This is the GOPe “splitter” strategy within the 2016 Road Map. (
go read it all)