According to Worldometers, just under 793,000 Americans have Coronavirus as of today.
This means that, based upon Serological Testing, somewhere between 21 to 67 million people have already had the Coronavirus in the United States.
The death rate of the seasonal flu is .01
The death rate of the Coronavirus - based upon the Serological Testing that has been done is between .006 and .01
FOR COMPARISON'S SAKE:
In 2017-2018,45 million people got the flu
21 million went to the Dr with the flu
810,000 people were hospitalized with the flu
61,000 people died of the flu
The death rate in the 2017-2018 flu season was .013
-------
Antibody Testing in Los Angeles Shows 27 to 55 Times As Many People Have Had Coronavirus As Was Previously Thought
Hundreds of thousands of Los Angeles County residents may have been infected with the coronavirus by early April, far outpacing the number of officially confirmed cases, according to a report released Monday. The initial results from the first large-scale study tracking the spread of the coronavirus in the county found that 2.8% to 5.6% of adults have antibodies to the virus in their blood, an indication of past exposure. That translates to roughly 221,000 to 442,000 adults who have recovered from an infection, according to the researchers conducting the study, even though the county had reported fewer than 8,000 cases at that time. “We haven’t known the true extent of COVID-19 infections in our community because we have only tested people with symptoms, and the availability of tests has been limited,” study leader Neeraj Sood, a professor at USC‘s Price School for Public Policy, said in a statement. “The estimates also suggest that we might have to recalibrate disease prediction models and rethink public health strategies.” The findings suggest the coronavirus is far more widespread than originally known, and that its fatality rate is much lower. But Sood cautioned against solely focusing on how lethal the disease is.
AND THEN THERE'S THIS:
Danish Serum Institute Tests 5000 People And Determines HUGE Numbers of People Have ALREADY Had Coronavirus
On Tuesday rounded Denmark 5000 infected with the coronavirus. But you can follow the Statens Serum institut’s assessment, then the number in fact, between 30-80 times higher. according to a new report published by the national board of Health.
Statens Serum Institut assume that the real number of infected people in Denmark is 30-80 times higher than the number being demonstrated.
The assumption is done on the basis of studies from, among others, Germany and Iceland.
Furthermore, It appears that studies of 1000 blood donors collected in the period 1.-3 April in the Capital Region of Denmark shows that 3.5 percent of them have been infected with the coronavirus.
They estimate the number of people who have already had Coronavirus to be 30-80 times higher than the number of known cases.
Denmark's population is 5,600,000.
The number of known cases is 5386 as of today.
5386 X 30 = 161580, which is 2.9% of the total population.
5386 X 80 = 430,880, which is 7.7% of the population.
Let's split the difference (very approximately) and say a flat 300,000 people have had Coronavirus in Denmark.
Denmark has had 218 deaths so far.
218 cases divided by 300,000 cases means that .0007 of people who get Coronavirus die of Coronavirus.
61,000 divided by 45,000,000 equals .001.
Is it possible the Coronavirus is actually LESS LETHAL than the Flu was in 2017-2018?
It seems impossible to believe, but that is what the numbers are telling us so far.
I suspect that these numbers will likely be found to be off, but still much closer to the truth than the wild predictions that 2 million would die in the United States.
And remember, it was those kinds of crazy predictions which were initially used to justify the shutdown of the economy.
AND THEN OF COURSE THERE IS THE STANFORD UNIVERSITY SEROLOGICAL TEST IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA:
This appears to be wonderful news!
ReplyDeleteBut I wish that we had some kind of stats about possible asymptomatic carriers.
We'll find out down the line -- when American "reopens."
What is this "test, trace, isolate" tyranny Pelosi with her eyes propped open plans? The Corona Archipelago?
ReplyDeletehttps://twitter.com/diana_west_/status/1252602314956963840