Friday, September 02, 2011

No Depression

Today is a milestone.

Today is 2 years since my job was eliminated.

Prospects are not good. I can't even get an interview to stock shelves at the local Lowe's or Target.

I'll be 50 in November. That doesn't help. Especially when 4 out of 5 college graduates can't find a job in their field of study.


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I've been out of work for 2 years. "Unemployed need not apply."

Yet for 3-1/2 years, through my wife's unemployment and then my own, I've been able to keep the bills paid. It has cost me nearly every sent I have in savings and early retirement withdrawals. That's about to end.



The August numbers are out today. On my two year anniversary.

Unemployment is holding steady at 9.1%.

They say that like it's a good thing.

Truth is, unemployment is holding steady because the 99ers are starting to expire at a faster and faster pace now. People who have expired their benefits and are no longer counted as unemployed although they have not found a job.



Now they're just counted as bums I suppose.

To hear the idiots and morons on the TeeVee we have a chance to turn this all around in 2012.

For myself and millions like me, that is too late. By then we will be finished.

The President has a BIG JOBS SPEECH next week.

To the media the big deal with it is how will it affect the Packers game?



Meanwhile, The August numbers show NO JOBS were created in August.

None.

That hasn't happened since 1945.

And President Barack Obama, back home from his 10 day Martha's Vineyard Vacation, refreshed and ready to work, is heading to Camp David for the next couple days.

While Congress, who fled town right after passing that debt debacle in early August, has yet to be heard from.

None of them seem to care about the un(der)employed, except as how it will affect their chances in 2012.

Kids are living in their cars and under blue tarps in the woods. They tape screening to the windows to keep the mosquitos out but let air in during the warm summer nights. They're dropped off at school in the same vehicle they sleep in and do their homework in afterwards. Spaghettios are a luxury meal to them. A can split among 3 or 4.

This is not the America my father left me. Nor yours.

But hang in their, kids. 2012 is coming.

It's just 72 weeks until a new administration.

You can hang on that long, can't you?

Employers add no net jobs in Aug.; rate unchanged
Employers added no net jobs in August, while unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.1 pct.

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Employers stopped adding jobs in August, an alarming setback for an economy that has struggled to grow and might be at risk of another recession.

The government also reported that the unemployment rate remained at 9.1 percent. It was the weakest jobs report since September 2010.

Stocks tumbled on the news. The Dow Jones industrial average sank more than 190 points in early-morning trading.

Total payrolls were unchanged in August, the first time since 1945 that the government has reported a net job change of zero. Economists warned that the economy can't keep growing indefinitely if hiring remains stalled.

"Underlying job growth needs to improve immediately in order to avoid a recession," said HSBC economist Ryan Wang.

Fears that the United States will slip back into recession have been rising since the government reported over the summer that the economy barely grew in the first half of the year. Consumer and business confidence has been sapped by the political standoff over the federal debt limit, a downgrade in the U.S. government's credit rating and a debt crisis in Europe.

Job growth had already been sputtering before it stalled completely last month. The economy produced an average 166,000 a month in the first quarter, 105,000 a month in the second quarter and just 28,000 a month so far in the third quarter, said John Silvia, chief economist at Wells Fargo.

The dispiriting job numbers for August will put more pressure on the Federal Reserve, President Barack Obama and Congress to find ways to stimulate the economy. So far, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has been reluctant to try a third round of bond purchases designed to jolt the economy by further lowering long-term interest rates.

Obama next week will deliver a rare address to a joint session of Congress to introduce a plan for creating jobs and boosting economic growth. But House Republicans have resisted any federal stimulus spending.

The weakness in employment was underscored by revisions to the jobs data for June and July. Collectively, those figures were lowered to show 58,000 fewer jobs added. The downward revisions were all in government jobs.

The average work week also declined, and hourly earnings fell by 3 cents to $23.09.

"There is no silver lining in this one," said Steve Blitz, senior economist at ITG Investment Research. "It is difficult to walk away from these numbers without the conclusion that the economy is simply grinding to a halt."

With job creation stalled and wages declining, consumers won't see much gain in incomes. That will limit their ability to spend, which undercuts growth. Consumer spending accounts for about 70 percent of the economy.

"The importance of job growth cannot be overstated," said Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at MFR Inc.

The economy needs to add roughly 250,000 jobs a month to rapidly bring down the unemployment rate, which has been above 9 percent in all but two months since May 2009.

In August, the private sector added 17,000 jobs, the fewest since February 2010. That compares with 156,000 in July and 75,000 in June.

"The stagnation in US payroll employment is an ominous sign," said Paul Ashworth, an economist at Capital Economics. "The broad message is that even if the US economy doesn't start to contract again, any expansion is going to be very, very modest and fall well short of what would be needed to drive the still elevated unemployment rate lower."

Hiring fell across many different sectors. Manufacturers cut 3,000 jobs, its first decline since October 2010. Construction companies, retailers, and transportation firms also cut workers.

The health care industry added 30,000 jobs last month.

The economy expanded at an annual pace of only 0.7 percent in the first six months of the year. That was the slowest six months of growth since the recession officially ended in June 2009.

In August, consumer confidence fell to its lowest level since April 2009, according to the Conference Board.

Most economists forecast that growth may improve to about a 2 percent annual rate in the July-September quarter. But that's not fast enough to generate many jobs.

The Obama administration has estimated that unemployment will average about 9 percent next year, when Obama will run for re-election. The rate was 7.8 percent when Obama took office.

The White House Office of Management and Budget projects overall growth of only 1.7 percent this year.

"The economy continues to stagger," said Sung Won Sohn, economist at California State University Channel Islands. "It wouldn't take much (of a) shock to tip it onto a recession."












16 comments:

Always On Watch said...

The hell that we're not in an economic depression!

Unemployment is holding steady at 9.1%.

They say that like it's a good thing.


It's all a part of shilling for the present administration.

I don't know what YOU are supposed to do, MR.

I still have my job, but my income is down because everyone has tightened their belt in preparation for the present and the coming rape-rate tuition prices for the children's college education.

The only thing saving this household is zero debt. No mortgage, no car payment.

But the real-estate tax rates are killing us -- as are the health-insurance premiums.

There will be no golden years for Mr. AOW and me -- and I say that as a statement unrelated to the stroke that he had almost two years ago.

I never thought that I'd see America in such a mess!

Unknown said...

Sigh.Hi Midnight honest to god i wish i could change your situation and that i knew of a plan able to change the unemployment cricis quickly ,sadly there's no magic stick to change anything those who believed this in 2008 were just idiots.To be honest i fear things will get a lot worse , we will see many more and bigger riots people won't starve their children they will rob the shops.'Older' unemployed won't be counted in the statistics thus hiding the real unemployment numbers who are probably much higher than 9.1 %.I think compared to what is ahead of us, the 1930's were 'a walk in the park'.

WC said...

"The dispiriting job numbers for August will put more pressure on the Federal Reserve, President Barack Obama and Congress to find ways to stimulate the economy."

Is he kidding? We have the answers. Unleash capitalism. Drop the tax rate on business. Eliminate all regulations that were passed in the last 10 years. FLUSH OUT THE REAL ESTATE MARKET SO IT CAN START AGAIN!

But don't old you're breath. The ideologues in DC can't see the truth before Leftard ideology.

SamenoKami said...

We are in a Depression. Period. Unemployment compensation, SS, welfare and food stamps are papering over the fact.
Were there none of those helps, people would be standing in breadlines and roaming the country in search of work, just like in the 30s.
The infuriating thing of it all is that it's not that difficult to begin to fix if you just want to fix it w/o blaming, taking credit or politics.
If Odama is elected in '12, there may be an immigration problem INTO instead of out of Mexico.

Alexander Münch said...


The next 9/11 will mark my first year of "in between jobs" period.

On "THE" 9/11, I was sitting in my Ex boss's office hoping that he will look at me and start the job interview.
But, he was glued to the TV set watching the towers collapse!
" OK - OK ! The job is yours, starting next week. Ask my secretary for the forms and fax them back to me signed!..."

Q - Do you have more of those tall building over there in your USA of America?
.

Pastorius said...

Can you imagine how big the story of the 99'ers would be if a Republican were President?

midnight rider said...

The 99ers are a huge story and they are going to have a huge and horrifying impact on American Society in the comng months.

Believe it.

Pastorius said...

Do you know of any way to get a number on how many of these people are coming off welfare rolls in the next few months?

René O'Deay said...

anybody hear that BHO was doing rehab from alcohol binge while in Vineyard? going from there to Camp David right away seems somewhat excessive. don't it?

Pastorius said...

Haven't heard that. Do you have any links?

midnight rider said...

No, I haven't found reliable information on the count, and I wonder if they even keep it. I would think they'd be loathe to publish it because then they could use the unemployment is steady or down ruse any longer AND they'd have to answer for all these additional unemployed.

But back in July when Pennsylvania and Arizona legislators were fighting over whether to change the law and extend the benefits 45,000 in Pa. and 15,000 in Az. would have lost their benefits.

The laws were changed but not enough and many still lost their benefits and came off the rolls and were no longer counted as unemployed, myself included.

I wish someone would publish the info. The hue and cry in this country if they knew the truth would be unimaginable and unignorable.

And by the way, dude, really, it's unemployment rolls, not welfare.

Unemployment is a benefit we've received from paying U.C. insurance in our paychecks all these years.

Welfare is an entitlement, a handout.

Big difference. We're stigmatized and traunatized enough already.

;>)

midnight rider said...

should read "could NOT use the unemployment is steady or down ruse any longer"

need more Wild Turkey

Pastorius said...

Wild Turkey helps a man spell better.

Alexander Münch said...


All the Turks are WILD!

I know a Serb who can finish a whole bottle Slivovitz

and then sing you a four minutes long song,

cursing the Turks without repeating a curse twice!

( I know only the first two minutes!... )
.

Always On Watch said...

Are we going to see America devolve into a two-class system?

Epaminondas said...

"going to" ?