Many poor to fair chess players such as myself always end up at some point in the game spotting the evil choice move.
You have a rook you can use to cross the board and kill something valuable, which may or may not help you to the ultimate goal of checkmate (if it will help, it’s really not clear how), usually there are two such moves you can make - one in either direction. The result of your killing the enemy piece is instant death for the rook, but if you do nothing you will lose the rook to a pawn.
And so we see Iran. The accumulation of evidence that there IS a deniable war on is pretty clear. The chess match has seen a lot of valuable pieces on their side of the board go bye bye. Their moves have been to attack the British Embassy. grumble and threaten. They may have recovered by accident an advanced drone. Or, it may have been placed where they can find it. They are missing scientists, generals, engineers, bases, labs, research, confidence in their software and some time.
Moreover, this can go on AFTER we believe they HAVE a stockpile of weapons, just as ‘we’ took out a physically HUGE missile research base, so can a nuke accidently go off taking out EVERYTHING. ‘Quelles dommages’, we will say, ‘can we help you recover?’
Are the US, Israel, and Britain trying to deliberately provoke Iran into a situation in which they have no choice but to respond? THINK ABE LINCOLN, JEFF DAVIS, FORT SUMTER. There was going to be no war before resupply of the fort was ordered by Lincoln, and we all know how that ended up. The arrival of the resupply ships triggered the bombardment. AS LINCOLN KNEW IT WOULD. Are we trying not to just hinder their program but provoke them into taking the first step in a war? A REAL WAR? Even some of the occupy gavones would then be behind an Obama who shrugs and says, “I don’t want this, but what can I do?”
Is Obama capable of this? Are the people who blew Egypt, and Arab Spring believing it was Jefferson II in the most feckless manner imaginable capable of doing this? Managing this? Planning this? Are the intelligence agencies which COMPLETELY blew WMD in Iraq capable of doing this in one of the most closed and paranoid leadership cadres on the planet?
Personally my judgment is no, no, no, and no. But that doesn’t mean I am right. Why do I say no?
Because the checkmate move is to provoke Iran into REAL action. Real action via, HAMAS, Hizballah, BASIJ and other cat’s paws into action against Israel and the USA, and provide casus belli to TAKE OUT THE MULLAHS.
I don’t believe Obama is doing this because when they brought out evidence themselves of action on US soil, they tamped the results down and MADE THEM GO AWAY. Read about the plans lately? Me either.
I don’t believe Obama is doing this because when he had the chance for strategic moves against the Mullahs in the same way he TOOK THEM against Mubarak, he cravenly backed away.
I don’t believe Obama is doing this because while his way has been the drone and isolated special forces attack, the checkmate move after the smoke clears over some horrific target of the mullahs which THEY FOOLISHLY THINK will be deniable (JCC Buenos Aires in the 90’s, for example) will be FLEETS, and MISSILES, and the atmosphere filled with US and Israeli F-15E’s and F-22’s, and B-1’s, B-2’s, B-52’s and the naked application of ALL WE HAVE to get rid of these meddlesome murderers for some super being.
I don’t believe Obama is the man for this kind of action. But if he is, and he is ready to take the main chance and make a world without a Hojatieh and mullah led Iran, he has my admiration and support for he has seen the real target is NOT THE NUKES, but the MULLAHS.
Can it be true?
NAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!
2 comments:
When the Americans leave Iraq, the country will be firmly in Iran's sphere of influence. That combination is a major danger not to Israel but to the Saudis and the Emirates. If anyone wants to see Iran collapse it is them, they will do anything to get someone do their dirty work.
As you say: Naaaaaaaaaaah! It's a lot more likely that someone in the government and the military decided to act. The President has been "absent" and isolated as reported by the own WH. Now he is taking a loooong vacation (which is OK with me, because we can all see how he has aged in not quite three years ... He needs time out, really)
It may be a well orchestrated strategy, while the VP distracts the world with the beauty of the Arab Spring ...
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