Two choices in Crimean referendum to rejoin USSR, uh, uh… Russia: yes and yes

Many on the left are decrying the criticism from ANYWHERE on the spectrum to their right (which includes the center, btw) by saying, ‘well what would you do, DECLARE WAR?’

I just want to point out the fallacy of this argument. The critical MANIFEST FAILURE of this situation is that both ideological underpinning of the Obama administration and every action they have taken from 2009 until now makes clear that the COST to Russia that the Russians CARE about, and the RISKS they run are ZERO.

We have no structure economically, militarily (not by war but by motion), or politically which is effective now at countering actions by those inimical to us which those people fear.

We are not ready to supplant the natural gas Russia is supplying. 

We have but one destroyer and 6 F-15’s to move into OUR TREATY PROTECTED ALLIES.

The Russian face no risk, or harm THEY CARE ABOUT by doing what they do. And so our NATO allies wonder. Israel wonders.

The Chinese face no risk or harm THEY CARE ABOUT by doing what they do. And so Japan wonders. Australia wonders. New Zealand wonders.

No one here in the USA is going to war for Crimea. OR the Ukraine.

But no one in Russia is REALLY worried about anything but disapproval, and market perturbation they really DON’T CARE ABOUT if they were about to foment disorder they then ‘have to fix’ in the UKR.

No one in China was worried about US counteraction when they declared the ADIZ.

March 7, 2014, 7:04 p.m. | Ukraine — by Katya Gorchinskaya

The ballot for March 16 Crimean referendum gives two choices, to join Russia or become independent.

Voters in Ukraine’s Russian-occupied Crimea who vote in the March 16 referendum have two choices – join Russia immediately or declare independence and then join Russia.

So the choices are “yes, now” or “yes, later.”

Voting “no” is not an option.

The lack of choice wouldn’t surprise anyone familiar with how Soviet or Russian elections are run.

The Crimean parliament released the design of the ballot that will be used for the referendum, which will be taking place as thousands of Russian soldiers are in control and – it appears – Russian President Vladimir Putin is calling the shots..

Acting President Oleksandr Turchynov has annulled the referendum as illegal and unconstitutional, but the pro-Kremlin Crimean authorities who took power on Feb. 27 do not recognize the legitimacy of central government and have said they will proceed with the vote.

The ballot asks two questions and leaves no option for a “no” vote. Voters are simply asked to check one of two boxes:

Do you support joining Crimea with the Russian Federation as a subject of Russian Federation?

And:

Do you support restoration of 1992 Crimean Constitution and Crimea’s status as a part of Ukraine?

That Constitution declares that Crimea is an independent state. 

The questions are written in Russian, Ukrainian and Crimean Tatar, the three most widely spoken languages on the peninsula, and the paper carries a warning in all three languages that marking both options will invalidate the ballot.

Volodymyr Yavorkiy, a member of the Kharkiv Human Rights Group, says that not only is the referendum completely illegal, the ballot for it doesn’t stand up to any criticism.

“There is no option for ‘no,’ they are not counting the number of votes, but rather which one of the options gets more votes,” says Yavorskiy. “Moreover, the first question is about Crimea joining Russia, the second – about it declaring independence and joining Russia. In other words, there is no difference.”

He says with no choice available, “it’s clear what the result will be.”

Mykhailo Malyshev, head of the Crimean parliament’s commission on referendum, said the election will have 1,250 polling stations equipped with web cameras for the vote.

“We have a desire and preparations for installing web cameras at polling stations. They can play a great role during the vote, and if technically it is possible, the web cameras will be installed,” UNIAN news agency quoted him as saying.

Malyshev also said that 2.5 million ballots will be printed. However, according to the Central Election Commission data, as of Feb. 28, 2014 there were only just over 1.5 million voters in Crimea.

The Central Election Commission, which has also said that the Crimean referendum is illegitimate, took an emergency decision on March 6 to close off the state register to all authorities of the autonomy. In its ruling, the commission said it was doing it “to protect the database of the State register of voters from unsanctioned use of personal data and unsanctioned access and abuse of access.”

Kyiv Post deputy chief editor Katya Gorchinskaya can be reached at katya.gorchinskaya@gmail.com