Wednesday, October 15, 2014

EBOLA And The Basic Reproduction Number


In epidemiology, the basic reproduction number (sometimes called basic reproductive rate, basic reproductive ratio and denoted R0, r nought) of an infection can be thought of as the number of cases one case generates on average over the course of its infectious period, in an otherwise uninfected population.
This metric is useful because it helps determine whether or not an infectious disease can spread through a population. 
When R0 < 1 the infection will die out in the long run. But if R0 > 1 the infection will be able to spread in a population. 
Generally, the larger the value of R0, the harder it is to control the epidemic. 

GO READ THE WHOLE THING.
Values of R0 of well-known infectious diseases[1]
DiseaseTransmissionR0
MeaslesAirborne12–18
PertussisAirborne droplet12–17
DiphtheriaSaliva6–7
SmallpoxAirborne droplet5–7
PolioFecal-oral route5–7
RubellaAirborne droplet5–7
MumpsAirborne droplet4–7
HIV/AIDSSexual contact2–5
SARSAirborne droplet2–5[2]
Influenza
(1918 pandemic strain)
Airborne droplet2–3[3]
Ebola
(2014 Ebola outbreak)
Bodily fluids1-2 [4]

1 comment:

Always On Watch said...

This information is critically important.

We now have two Ebola infections (two nurses in Dallas) from one index patient (Thomas Eric Duncan).

Obama's and Frieden's platitudes mean nothing!