"Regime Change
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Sunday, January 07, 2007

The Peace Process in Kashmir

Indian troops at Haji PirAt the end of August 1965, at the height of the Indo-Pakistani War, Indian troops had captured and occupied the Haji Pir pass and other important strategic territory in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir. Operation Gibraltar — Pakistan’s mujahideen-powered attempt to infiltrate and overthrow the government of the Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir — had failed. Indian forces were better-equipped and supplied than their Pakistani counterparts, and held the strategic advantage.

Yet less than a month later India had accepted a UN-brokered ceasefire and handed most of the captured territory back to Pakistan.

The history of the 1965 war has an eerie familiarity about it. It first emerged more than four decades ago, but the same old song is still playing today.

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After a series of border skirmishes earlier in 1965, Pakistan launched Operation Gibraltar at the beginning of August. In an attempt to overthrow the government of Jammu and Kashmir, native mujahideen from the Pakistani portion of Kashmir were recruited, trained, and led by Pakistan’s Special Forces. The plan was to infiltrate Jammu and Kashmir and induce discontented local Muslims on the Indian side to rise in rebellion. Together with their Pakistani saviors they would overturn the government in Srinagar, form a provisional government, and declare independence. The newly independent state would then call for help from other countries, including — no surprise — Pakistan. Islamabad would thus gain an enormous strategic advantage from a new puppet Islamic state on India’s northern frontier.

Jammu and Kashmir

Such was the plan, but it didn’t work out as expected. The local Muslims on the Indian side of the Line of Control were indifferent to the idea of rebellion, and even went so far as to report the mujahideen to higher authorities. Pakistan had preserved plausible deniability — “Those aren’t our troops; they’re native mujahideen! They’ve got nothing to do with us! We never saw them before!” — but India was not fooled. Declassified State Department cables from the time show that the American intelligence services were well aware of Pakistan’s little game.

India responded to the provocation by sending its troops across the Line of Control, and drove Pakistan out of several important strongholds in Kashmir. The war escalated, spreading to other parts of the border between the two countries. A notable feature of the war was the largest tank battle since World War Two — so many American-supplied Pakistani tanks were destroyed or abandoned that the battlefield became know as Patton Nagar, or “Patton Town”.

As September wore on there was strong pressure from the United Nations for a ceasefire. Even the Soviet Union joined in — it had its own geostrategic reasons for wanting to rein in its Indian client. Finally, on September 22nd, the Security Council passed a unanimous ceasefire resolution, and the next day the war came to an end. The UN-brokered deal required India to give back most of the territory it had taken from Pakistan.

In hindsight, it is clear that India held the advantage over Pakistan. If the Indian army had pressed on, it could have dealt the enemy a complete and humiliating defeat; but, at the time, the generals at the front reported that Indian ammunition and equipment were nearly exhausted. This misinformation was part of the fog of war — later investigation by the Indian government showed that it was in fact Pakistan that was overextended.

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India and Pakistan have gone to war over Palistan in 1947, 1965, and 1971, in addition to minor skirmishes and incidents that have occurred throughout the years since partition. Since nuclear stalemate imposed a moratorium on full-fledged war between the two countries, Pakistan has had to rely on its proxies to carry out aggression. It continues to train, encourage, and fund Islamic zealots to act as cross-border infiltrators, who are often trained in al-Qaeda’s terrorist camps in the lawless tribal areas or across the border in Afghanistan. During this entire time India has been under pressure, sometimes from factions within its own government, to make concessions to its foe in order to further the “peace process”.

Why does this pattern seem so familiar?

Exchange “Israel” for “India” and “Egypt-Jordan-Syria” for “Pakistan”, and you have the Palestinian problem in a nutshell:

  • Mujahideen irregulars are employed as proxies to fight on behalf of an outside Islamic country.
  • A militarily superior foe is pressured by the Great Powers to relinquish strategically important territory to a weaker enemy after attaining a clear military victory.
  • A moral equivalence is established between the aggressor and the defender, so that “both sides” are continually urged into a “peace process” which notably disadvantages the defender, but fails to attain an actual peace.
  • The conflict is never resolved. It continues year after year, decade after decade, with the implication that only more concessions by the original defender to the original aggressor can ever bring it to a close.

This infernal process was recently recapitulated in the war between Israel and Hizbullah in Lebanon, a war in which a non-uniformed proxy force of mujahideen engaged the Jewish state on behalf of its patrons in Syria and Iran. But in this case it seems the Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has internalized the whole perverse schema, pre-emptively declining to win the clear victory that Israel could have achieved so easily. Now, with the help of the UN, everything is being given back to Hizbullah, as personnel and arms once again flow into Lebanon from Syria.

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For the four decades since the war, India has had to live with the consequences of the failure to defeat Pakistan in 1965. The issues have not gone away, and the Indian public remains mindful of what is at stake.

The latest contentious issue is the Siachen glacier, a strategic elevation in the north of Kashmir where India, Pakistan, and China come together. Over the last few months there have been persistent rumors — widespread enough to provoke official denial — that the Indian government is about to return Siachen to Pakistan as a conciliatory gesture.

Not everyone in India supports such appeasement. Consider this January 3rd editorial by Sarla Handoo in the Kashmir Herald, entitled “No Withdrawal from Siachen”:

A look, in retrospect, over India’s response to victories in wars with Pakistan, big or small, makes a dismal reading. It has been one of returning to the vanquished all that it could get hold of — after a huge sacrifice, of course.

[…]

India’s penchant to give away the booties has not been limited to the Simla agreement [the treaty signed after the Indo-Pakistani War in 1971]. In fact, it has been there at the end of every war with Pakistan. In 1965 Indian troops captured the strategically important position of Haji Pir in the Uri sector. This enabled the people of Uri, and of the Valley , to walk down to Poonch area of the state in four hours, which otherwise would mean a distance of 700 kilometers of hilly roads taking not less than three days by bus. For the people of Kashmir there could not have been a better victory against Pakistan. But alas, the post was returned to Pakistan in the wake of the Tashkent agreement between Prime Minister Lal Bahadur Shastri and Pakistan President General Ayub Khan. Indian troops were pulled back to their original positions. And this happened despite two important factors. One that Haji Pir falls within Pakistan occupied part of Jammu and Kashmir, which India claims as its own. And two, the victory of Haji Pir marked jubilation by the local residents who could taste a commodity like sugar for the first time in their lives, provided to them by the Jammu and Kashmir government.

In the Chhamb sector of Jammu region, the critical chicken-neck area was captured by the Indian troops several times during the course of wars, but was returned to Pakistan each time. Pakistan has now renamed the area, returned by India, as Iftikharabad, the victory land.

[…]

And now the air is thick with speculations that India is going to return the Siachen glacier to Pakistan and that the talks in this regard are at a very advanced stage. This is the point from where Indian troops are in a position to keep a vigil on the movement on Karakoram Highway between Pakistan and China and thereby provide security to the Ladakh region.

The road has been built after Pakistan handed over a portion of POK to China. It also gives a military advantage to Indian troops not only over Shyok and Nubra Valleys but also on the Pakistani positions located about 3000 feet below.

[…]

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is to visit Pakistan shortly. General Musharraf has already started to play his usual tune, saying that he hopes to achieve headway on what he calls the “simmering issues” of Kashmir and Siachen during Dr. Singh’s visit. For him terrorism is not a simmering issue and he is not bothered about it.

While attempts to normalise relations with Pakistan are welcome, India needs to be wary about Pakistan President’s moves. Accommodation beyond a point by India may not help. It has not during the last 58 years, at least. A ‘give-give’ attitude will only demoralise the Indian Army by concluding that it is no use to sacrifice lives for victory as the political executive will return the strategic points later on.

Even though India was a Soviet client in 1965, one regrets the fact that the Indian Army failed to continue all the way to Islamabad. Just think — no A.Q. Khan, no “Islamic bomb”, no Taliban, no technology for the DPRK. A different world.

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What is wrong with us? Why can’t we see the pattern here?

By “us” I mean the United States, Europe, Israel, India, and all the other civilized countries confronting aggression from Islamic countries and their mujahid proxies.

The pattern is quite clear. Islamic dictatorships, unable to confront the infidels in state-to-state warfare, fund and train irregular non-state proxies to carry out their collective jihad obligations. Terror and attrition wear down the will of the infidel, until he finally makes conciliatory gestures. Conciliation is perceived as weakness by the enemy, encouraging more violence and greater demands.

This cycle can be repeated indefinitely, while the governments of the Islamic countries keep their hands clean and deny all responsibility, referring to the “legitimate grievances” of the oppressed Muslims as justification for all the atrocities.

For generation after generation our public servants have followed the same failed playbook. Most of us are safe from the consequences, at least for now.

But out there on the bloody borders of Islam, in Nigeria, Indonesia, Bosnia, Darfur, Serbia, Kashmir, Thailand, and Paris, the consequences are real enough. Real people are being hacked to death, beheaded, stoned, and burned alive due to the failure of our democratically elected governments to deal resolutely with the threat we will all eventually face.

When will we ever learn?


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Resources on the conflicts in Kashmir:

Indo-Pakistani War of 1965
Operation Gibraltar
The 1965 War: Lessons yet to be learnt (Rediff, 2005)
Lost opportunity in 1965 (India Daily, 2004)
Background on the 1947 war in Kashmir (Bharat Rakshak)
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posted by Baron Bodissey at permanent link# 1 Comments

The case for nuking Iran

First, some history. In the 1930's and 1940's Japan was one of the most militaristic states, bent on the world domination, periodically adding new territories to its empire by way of military conquest. It was one of the biggest enemies of the US at that time, and its animosity toward the US culminated on December 7, 1941 with the attack on Pearl Harbor which prompted the US to declare war on Japan and formally enter the WWII.

Fast forward to 1945. By that time, US, UK, Australia, Netherlands, New Zealand and Canada were fighting Japan in the Pacific and East Asia for some 4 years. In August of 1945, USSR joined in. While the Soviets were pounding Japan's Kwantung Army in the campaign that began on August 8, 1945, two Japanese cities, Hiroshima and Nagasaki, went up in mushroom clouds on August 6 and August 9, courtesy of the US. A few days later, Japan had surrendered, was occupied and given a new constitution written by the US.

Since then, Japan has been one the closest friends and allies of the US; hence the logical conclusion - nuking makes your enemies into your friends. Let's befriend Iran.

Crossposted at Eye On The World.
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posted by Watcher at permanent link# 5 Comments

Dan And Nan, The Sad, Sad Ants

Sorry to diverge from the normal topic, but I thought many of you would find Pim's Ghost's latest video funny even though it has nothing to do with killing Jihadis. Actually, I believe even the most hardcore of Jihadis would find this one funny as well.


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Storm Track Intimidation: Soup, Scorpions and Muslims

A recent court French court’s decision made me think of the old story of the scorpion and the turtle. It goes like this:

One day a scorpion stood at the edge of a pool, wanting to get to the other side. Along came a turtle to which the scorpion posed the question, "Would you give me a ride across the pond?"

"Of course not," mumbled the slow witted turtle.” For as surely as I give you a ride on my back you will bite me!"

"No. I promise. O won't bite you," said the scorpion.

He hopped atop the turtle and their journey began, about three quarters of the way across the pond the scorpion raised his poisonous tail and thrust it with all his might, right through the shell of the turtle, giving him a sting of death.

"But you promised not to bite," said the saying turtle. "Why would you do such a thing, even jeopardizing yourself?"

The scorpion replied, "I'm a scorpion. It's what I do."

Now replace the scorpion with Muslim and you have the gist of the court case.

A French court ruled Tuesday that an organization with far-right links can continue offering pork soup to the homeless, rejecting police complaints that the food distribution was racist. Police banned the soup kitchen last month, arguing that the handouts discriminated against Jews and Muslims who do not eat pork on religious grounds. The administrative court said the distribution was "clearly discriminatory," but could not be stopped because the organizers offered to feed anyone who asked for help.

Read the rest at The Gathering Storm

Sign up for my free WEEKLY STORM REPORT and receive a synopsis of the most important weekly news revealing the intimidation, infiltration and disinformation tactics used to soften-up the non-Muslim world for domination.
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posted by WC at permanent link# 4 Comments

More On The American Buildup In The Persian Gulf


Not that Debka is the most reliable source, but ...


Adm. William J. Fallon (picture), 62, hitherto supreme commander in the Pacific theater, takes over from Gen. John Abizaid as commander of the US central command which is in charge of the US fronts in Iraq, Afghanistan and against global terrorism. The admiral specializes in deploying large-scale navy, air and Marines forces simultaneously in different arenas.

And the White House is making sure that Adm. Fallon has plenty of resources to deploy, a veritable buildup, the second in four months, in the Persian Gulf and other waters opposite Iran. The USS John C. Stennis strike group is heading for the Persian Gulf with a mighty air arm of 9-10 fighter-bomber squadrons. Saturday, some sources reported that another task force, the USS Ronald Reagan Strike Group, had been ordered out of Sand Diego on Jan. 4 and was heading in the same direction.

Military observers in the US and Middle East noted that the group’s commander, Rear Adm. Michael H. Miller, reiterated: “When we deploy for real-world operations, Carrier Strike Group 7 will be an example of how the Navy is able to carry out our mission any time, anywhere in the world.”

The original announcement that the Stennis strike group will this month join the USS Dwight Eisenhower aircraft carrier group and USS Boxer strike force in the Persian Gulf described the deployment “as a warning to Syria and Iran” in face of acts seen as provocative, and to give commanders more flexibility in the region.

Deployment of the Stennis group puts a total of 16,000 US sailors in the region as well as another nuclear carrier and 7 escort warships, 10 air squadrons, 2 submarines and helicopters to support amphibious landings on enemy soil.

This massed naval, air and marine forces assembled should provide credible evidence of the lengths the United States is prepared to go to keep Iran, Syria or Hizballah from interfering with the all-out American attempt to stabilize Iraq.
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posted by Pastorius at permanent link# 7 Comments

Monday Night On PBS

From the PBS web site:
"Anti-Semitism in the 21st Century: The Resurgence"

Monday, January 8, 2007

10 - 11:00 pm

Sixty years after the Holocaust, many parts of the world are experiencing a dramatic resurgence of anti-Semitism. This documentary explores the roots of anti-Semitism and examines how and why it continues to flourish today. (CC, Stereo)

Watch the broadcast to see how PBS deals with this topic.

[Hat-tip to Nanc]
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posted by Always On Watch at permanent link# 6 Comments

US bars weapons to Israel over Hizbo war stupidities- Olmert a disaster - DUH

Outcome of war with Hizbullah blamed for deteriorating U.S.-Israeli tech ties

Gertz..
TEL AVIV — The Bush administration has unofficially blocked arms and technology transfers to Israel.

Israeli and U.S. sources said the State Department action over the past three months reflects deteriorating relations between the two countries since the end of the war in Lebanon in August 2006.

"Nobody will say openly that there is a problem," a government source said. "But there is a serious problem that reflects the marginalization of Israel in U.S. strategy."

The unofficial suspension of U.S. arms deliveries began in late September, the source said. The suspension halted the airlift of air-to-ground and other munitions conducted during and immediately after the Israeli war with Hizbullah.

"Several weeks after the war, the U.S. supplies stopped," the source said. "There was no real explanation."

The source said the administration held up a list of weapons requested by Israel after the Lebanon war. He said the weapons and equipment — including the Joint Direct Attack Munition, or JDAM — were meant to replenish munitions and other stocks in preparation for a larger war that would include Syria in mid-2007.

"The administration has not rejected any Israeli request," a U.S. official said. "Instead, the State Department and Defense Department have said that all requests must be examined."

Of course we may need to stockpile our own production for future plans....like Iran, however, Israel should be alarmed. Never the less, while almost all our strategic goals parallel Israel's they are not all one and the same.

If Bush is doing this, one can only wonder why he didn't hold top American civilians and generals as accountable for their blunders and poor strategy in Iraq.

Continue reading "US bars weapons to Israel over Hizbo war stupidities- Olmert a disaster - DUH" »

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Italy: Crocodile Tears for Bloody Butcher

How full of shit is the world, I ask you. Saddam Husssein, the monster, is being mourned by the enlightened neanderthals. So many dead. So many murdered, so many gassed, so many raped. so many tortured...in Saddam's name. Under Saddam's orders and they cry for him. They ought to be tied to a chair, eyelids held open, and forced to watch this on an endless loop. Shame shame shame on them. Would they light the pantheon for Hitler now?

Rome's Colosseum lights up in death penalty protest Breitbart

The Colosseum in Rome was illuminated evening as part of Italy's campaign for a global moratorium on the death penalty following the bungled hanging of Saddam Hussein.

Rome_crys_saddam Following an initiative by the Italian capital's left-wing mayor Walter Veltroni, the arches of the world-famous 2,000-year-old Roman era stadium were lit up as night fell.

In attendance were members of Italy's libertarian Radical Party, whose 76-year-old leader Marco Pannella began a hunger strike on December 26 in support of the moratorium.

Italian politicians were unanimous in their revulsion over Saddam's execution, with former prime minister Silvio Berlusconi calling it a "political and historic error."

Atlas readers were unanimous in their revulsion over the cowardly, weak, posturing of dhimmi politicians on the dead continent.

UPDATE: Italy Meet Libya here

These asshats ought to move to Italy: US activists arrive in Cuba to protest Guantanamo prison

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France Gets It - The Rest of The World? Not So Much

Ok, so the Baker Commission's Iraq Study Report insisted that solving the Middle East Conflict was the key to solving the problems in Iraq. The whole Arab world insists that the Middle East Conflict is the reason for terrorism. Much of Europe believes this. Much of America believes it too.

But, France doesn't?

Kick me in the shins, I think I'm dreaming:


An official report published recently by the French government says that resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will not bring an end to the threat of global terrorism.

The report, named “Internal Security vs. Terror Threats” is an official publication of the French government. The report says that “since Europe is closer and more accessible to the Middle East than the United States, it serves as an alternative to anyone seeking to attack the “distant enemy.” Europe contains a variety of appropriate targets, some of which are connected with the United States and with Israel, and a strike on one or more of these targets would draw huge international attention.”

In addition, the report says, Europe has a large population of Muslim immigrants which creates an area where there is direct contact with the conflict areas.

The report also says that “some of the conflicts in the Middle East are mentioned extensively in the rhetoric uttered by the Islamist terrorists. However, the resolution of these conflicts would have no effect on ending global terror, which is functionally disconnected from these conflicts.”


Uh, wow!
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posted by Pastorius at permanent link# 4 Comments

We Can Not Solve The Iraq Problem Without Regime Change In Iran

From Michael Ledeen:


Several good journalists are working on this story…and the outlines are pretty clear. First, we had good information that terrorists were in Baghdad, and had gone to the compound. We did not know exactly who they were. We entered the compound and arrested everybody who looked like a usual suspect. One of them told us he was the #3 official of the al Quds unit of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, a particularly vicious group. He was carrying documents, one of which was in essence a wiring diagram of Iranian operations in Iraq. That wiring diagram included both Shiite and Sunni terrorist groups, and was of such magnitude that American officials were flabbergasted. It seems that our misnamed Intelligence Community had grossly underestimated the sophistication and the enormity of the Iranian war campaign.

I am told that this information has reached the president, and that it is part of the body of information he is digesting in order to formulate his strategy for Iraq. If he sees clearly what is going on, he must realize that there can be no winning strategy for Iraq alone, since a lot of 'Iraqi' activity—not just lethal materiel such as the latest generation of explosive devices, now powerful enough to penetrate the armor of most of our vehicles—is actually Iranian in origin. We cannot 'solve' the Iraqi problem without regime change in Iran.

Those of you who have borne with me for the last few years will not be surprised to hear this; what's new is the apparently irrefutable evidence that has now providentially fallen into our hands. The policy makers will not like this evidence, because it drives them in a direction they do not wish to go. I am told that, at first, there was a concerted effort, primarily but by no means exclusively from the intel crowd, to sit on the evidence, to prevent it from reaching the highest levels. But the information was too explosive, and it is now circulating throughout the bureaucracy.

I have little sympathy for those who have avoided the obvious necessity of confronting Iran, however I do understand the concerns of military leaders, such as General Abizaid, who are doing everything in their considerable power to avoid a two-front war. But I do not think we need massive military power to bring down the mullahs, and in any event we now have a three-front war: within Iraq, and with both Iran and Syria. So General Abizaid's objection is beside the point. We are in a big war, and we cannot fight it by playing defense in Iraq. That is a sucker's game. And I hope the president realizes this at last, and that he finds himself some generals who also realize it, and finally demands a strategy for victory.


And now, just days later, General Abizaid has been dismissed by Bush, and a Navy man has been installed to head Central Command. A Navy man to head the ground war in Iraq?

No, a Navy man to head the massive bombing of Iran, and the resultant effort to keep the Straits of Hormuz open so that the worlds oil markets will not be rocked.

Will a massive bombing campaign be enough to unseat the Mullahs, and good ole' OhMyDumbJihad? I don't know. But, I say, bomb, ovserve, and repeat as necessary. Repeat until the nuclear facilities are dust, and until the DNA of the Iranian leadership is liqiufied.
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Saturday, January 06, 2007

Israe To Hit Iran With Nukes? Sunday Time Of London Says So

UPDATED AT BOTTOM OF POST

Go to Drudge Report. He is reporting it in big red letters. There is no link as of yet.

Krishna left the link to the Times Of London article:


ISRAEL has drawn up secret plans to destroy Iran’s uranium enrichment facilities with tactical nuclear weapons.

Two Israeli air force squadrons are training to blow up an Iranian facility using low-yield nuclear “bunker-busters”, according to several Israeli military sources.

The attack would be the first with nuclear weapons since 1945, when the United States dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The Israeli weapons would each have a force equivalent to one-fifteenth of the Hiroshima bomb.


Under the plans, conventional laser-guided bombs would open “tunnels” into the targets. “Mini-nukes” would then immediately be fired into a plant at Natanz, exploding deep underground to reduce the risk of radioactive fallout.

“As soon as the green light is given, it will be one mission, one strike and the Iranian nuclear project will be demolished,” said one of the sources.

Israeli military commanders believe conventional strikes may no longer be enough to annihilate increasingly well-defended enrichment facilities. Several have been built beneath at least 70ft of concrete and rock. However, the nuclear-tipped bunker-busters would be used only if a conventional attack was ruled out and if the United States declined to intervene, senior sources said.

Israeli and American officials have met several times to consider military action. Military analysts said the disclosure of the plans could be intended to put pressure on Tehran to halt enrichment, cajole America into action or soften up world opinion in advance of an Israeli attack.
The Israeli government has warned repeatedly that it will never allow nuclear weapons to be made in Iran, whose president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has declared that “Israel must be wiped off the map”.


Sources close to the Pentagon said the United States was highly unlikely to give approval for tactical nuclear weapons to be used. One source said Israel would have to seek approval “after the event”, as it did when it crippled Iraq’s nuclear reactor at Osirak with airstrikes in 1981.

Scientists have calculated that although contamination from the bunker-busters could be limited, tons of radioactive uranium compounds would be released.

The Israelis believe that Iran’s retaliation would be constrained by fear of a second strike if it were to launch its Shehab-3 ballistic missiles at Israel.

Note that we just this past week, installed a Navy guy as the new head of Centcomm. Iraq is, obviously, a ground war. Why would we want a Navy Guy to head up a ground war?

Because the theater of war is about to shift dramatically? To Iran, to be headed up by the Navy?

Makes sense.

UPDATE: In an article from the Spectator which I found at Wizbang (and which is hidden behind Registration) there is speculation that either Israel or the United States are bound to do this within 12 months:

Within the next 12 months, the Americans or the Israelis, possibly both, are likely to launch military strikes aimed at crippling Iran's nuclear ambitions. Those strikes may come sooner rather than later. And they will probably be nuclear.
In addition to Iran’s indigenous nuclear programme, there have been reports that it has bought several nuclear bombs ‘off the shelf’ from rogue scientists in the former Soviet Union. So, for all the fuss about its nuclear programme, Iran might already have several tactical nuclear weapons stuffed in its armoury.
If Israel is drawn into a pre-emptive strike, the Iranians might reckon that the international community will judge an Iranian nuclear response to be proportionate, even justifiable. With their political compass fixed at the dangerous intersection of ideological fervour and religious zealotry, the mullahs of Tehran could be calculating that such an outcome will succeed in both burnishing their Islamic credentials and realising their cosmic dream of dominance.

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posted by Pastorius at permanent link# 15 Comments

Litvinenko: A $30 Million Murder?


According to this source, an unnamed source familiar with the post-mortem examination of Alexander Litvinenko has revealed that the dose of Polonium which killed Alexander Litvinenko would have cost $30 million.

Wow, that's an expensive hit, isn't it?

Lends more credence to my theory that the Litvinenko death was not a murder, but was instead the result of a messy smuggling operation by Alexander Litvinenko himself.

UPDATE: The London Times says the dose cost $10 million, and they are still going with the theory that it was a murder. Good luck with that.

UPDATE: The Guardian says $20 million.

UPDATE: The Australian says $12 million.
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Storm Track Infiltration: Is Arizona the Next Nexus For Terrorism?

When the 9/11 commission released its final report, it revealed, among other things, that Osama bin Laden sent the terrorists of 9-11 to flight schools in Arizona. This information from a FBI field agent in Arizona was knows as the ‘Phoenix Memo’.

But the Phoenix connection to the Jihadists doesn’t end there. A listener called into the Glenn Beck Show and here’s what Glenn said:

Yesterday on the radio program I asked listeners to call in with their predictions for 2007. Most of them were preposterous, you know, things like: "Glenn's show will beat the TV Guide channel in the ratings" -- but there was one that stood out. A guy named "Michael" called in and told me his prediction is that Phoenix, Arizona is going to be involved in something big this year on the terrorism front. He said there have been too many stories involving that city lately for it all to be coincidence.

The Real Story is that Michael was right, there are an awful lot of "isolated incidents" going on involving Phoenix. Taken individually, each of them sort of makes you go, "hmm, that's interesting" -- but put them all together and -- well, you decide.

First, remember that FBI memo from right before 9/11 that caused a huge political uproar because it supposedly had documented the idea that Osama bin Laden was sending terrorists to flight schools in the U.S.?

Guess what -- it's actually called "The Phoenix Memo" because it was written by the Phoenix FBI. It reads, in part, quote, "Phoenix has observed an inordinate number of individuals of investigative interest who are attending...civil aviation...colleges in the State of Arizona."

Hmmm, interesting.

And when the 9/11 report was finally issued, it contained 59 references to terrorist activity in Arizona and mentioned, for the first time, the existence of a highly classified FBI/CIA report titled, "Arizona: Long Range Nexus for Islamic Extremists." That report has still not been made public.

Nothing to see here people, move along.

Now, fast forward to this past November. A guy is stopped by Detroit police and is found to be carrying $80,000 in cash, information about cyanide, nuclear power plants and suitcase bombs, along with newspapers commemorating the 9/11 attacks. And just in case you think all of that is coincidence, he also had a hand-written note that said:

Read the rest at The Gathering Storm.

Sign up for my free WEEKLY STORM REPORT and receive a synopsis of the most important weekly news revealing the intimidation, infiltration and disinformation tactics used to soften-up the non-Muslim world for domination.
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posted by WC at permanent link# 1 Comments

Gun dealer in Australia arrested for selling stolen weapons to terrorists

The Sydney Morning Herald, which reported this, doesn't actually say he's a Muslim, but the name does tell something:
Counter terrorism police have arrested and charged a 28-year-old Sydney gun dealer over the theft of seven rocket launchers from the Australian military allegedly for sale to a major underworld figure and suspected terrorist.

Taha Abdul Rahman was arrested at a house in Leumeah, in Sydney's south-west, early this morning in a joint operation by NSW Counter Terrorism Police, AFP and ASIO. He was charged with 17 offences.

Police say Abdul Rahman, 28, supplied five of the Light Anti-Armour Weapons to one of the men arrested in anti-terrorism raids in Sydney last November over a plot to blow up the Sydney Harbour Bridge and Lucas Heights nuclear reactor.

[...]

The theft of the rocket launchers was revealed exclusively by The Sydney Morning Herald last month.

The story triggered a top-level national inquiry by security services into the theft of military weapons including an audit of arms stockpiles.

In addition, all use of hand-held rocket launchers by the military has been suspended pending the outcome of the inquiry.

"The person who received five (launchers) is currently facing terrorism-related charges on another matter,'' Australian Federal Police (AFP) Assistant Commissioner Frank Prendergast told reporters in Sydney.

The other weapons were supplied to another man who is facing criminal charges not related to terrorism.
It's clear that Muslims cannot be allowed to run businesses as gun merchants, as they're likely to smuggle some of the wares to terrorists under the table, or, as in the case of the suspect here, to steal weapons from the army to give to terrorist gangs.

Via David Frum.
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Save Nazanin Video : Plea from Nazanin Afshin-Jam

The video plea from Nazanin Afshin-Jam for mercy for Nazanin Fatehi. For the latest releases from her campaign, please check What Would Charles Martel Do? where I am posting all that I can.


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Because of course, mes amis, if we had done nothing, he would have killed all the terrorists

Chirac Blasts U.S.-Led Invasion of Iraq

PARIS -- President Jacques Chirac gave a tough critique Friday of the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq and its fallout, saying the war destabilized the entire Middle East and allowed terrorism to spread.

In a speech to ambassadors, Chirac also renewed his call for an international conference on the Middle East, saying he was deeply concerned by the growing number of crises there.

"At Europe's gate, the Middle East has become an epicenter of international tensions," Chirac said. "Crises are building up and spreading."


Of course it's all due to that SHITTY LITTLE COUNTRY, anyway


On Iraq, Chirac suggested the problems there today justified France's strong opposition to the invasion in 2003.

"As France foresaw and feared, the war in Iraq caused upheavals whose effects have not yet finished unraveling," he said.

"The venture exacerbated the divisions between (Iraqi) communities and undermined the very integrity of Iraq," he said. "It weakened the stability of the region, where every country is now worried about its security and independence. It gave terrorism new terrain for expansion."

Iraq has no integrity beyond the Sykes-Picot agreement of IMMENSE GALACTICALLY ARROGANT IMPERIALISM created and implemented by LITERALLY colonial European powers, and never did.

Iraq is a Chimera

Continue reading "Because of course, mes amis, if we had done nothing, he would have killed all the terrorists" »

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Gertz- U.S. intelligence quietly backed Ethiopia in war against Somalia

The Bush administration has rejected the return of the U.S. military to Somalia. But the administration has found a willing subcontractor: Ethiopia.
ethio2.jpg

Western diplomatic sources said the U.S. intelligence community has been working with Ethiopia in its drive against the Al Qaida-aligned militia in Somalia. The United States has promised to replenish equipment, munitions and other supplies for the current offensive against Somalia.

"The U.S. does not have the troops to threaten Al Qaida in Somalia," a diplomat said. "But Ethiopia has the numbers and the interests to stop an Al Qaida regime. Washington has been quietly helping Ethiopia, although the big payback will come later on after the dust settles."

The source said the administration has used Israel to help coordinate Ethiopia's military needs in the current offensive against Somalia. Israel has long been a quiet but reliable military ally of Ethiopia and has supplied unmanned aerial vehicles and other systems to the African state.

There are other ways to do this thing besides american troops, and allies without moral equivalence and willing to do whatever it takes to survive are alive.

Continue reading "Gertz- U.S. intelligence quietly backed Ethiopia in war against Somalia" »

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Write Your Elected Representatives!

Yesterday, I received. via email, the copy of a lengthy letter by the author of Escape! From an Arab Marriage: Horror Stories of Women Who Fled From Abusive Muslim Husbands. Excerpt from her letter:

Dear Speaker of the House Pelosi and House Representative Conyers:

I understand that you are co-sponsoring the “End Racial Profiling Act” and that, among other things, this is prompted by the expulsion of six Muslim imams from an airlines in the United States because of their provocative behavior.

Do you realize that you are being misdirected by CAIR and other Muslims about what is labeled “racial profiling”? Race has nothing whatsoever to do with the problem. It is the demonstrated and proven behavior patterns that we are trying to bring under control and eliminate. Color and ethnic descent do not matter—but what does matter is the ongoing, demonstrated behavior patterns of violence, murder, and continuous determination of destroy this wonderful, beautiful, and free country and yank it back to the religious nightmare of 6th century Islam.

Are you aware that Muslim imams are not just religious clerics of their belief system as are the clerics of the various Christian and Buddhist churches? Imams are very much political players...

READ THE REST!
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Why we can't just leave..the BITTER REALITY of this world war

5,000 Iran agents behind Shi'ite death squads in Iraq

What's the plan going to be George, Nancy and Harry? You answer to me. Personally.


muqtadr.jpg


WASHINGTON — Iran maintains thousands of intelligence agents in Iraq, according to Saudi security sources.

A report on Iran's intelligence presence in Iraq by the Saudi National Security Assessment Project asserts that Iran has at least 5,000 agents, responsible for helping establish Shi'ite death squads. Authored by Nawaf Obaid, a leading Saudi consultant based in Washington, the report cited the Al Quds Forces, identified as a special command division of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Obaid said Al Quds mainly functions as the special foreign intelligence division of IRGC and specializes in unconventional warfare.

Al Quds "has a close relationship with the Badr Organization and the Mahdi Army, as well as with smaller Iraqi Shi'ite militias," the report said. "Members of the Al Quds Forces organized what came to be known as the death squads under the former Iraqi Interior Minister."

[On Dec. 20, the U.S. military announced the capture of a leader of the Iranian-backed Mahdi Army south of Baghdad. The military said the Mahdi Army commander, a bomb expert, was linked to attacks on Iraqi and coalition forces in the Wasit Province.]
The report estimated the strength of Al Quds at 5,000. Obaid said the Mahdi Army has a strength of 10,000 and the Badr Organization, 25,000.

Obaid, who was an adviser to the Saudi embassy in the United States until December 2006, said Al Quds has been transporting Al Qaida fighters from Afghanistan to Iraq through Iran.

"Iran has also provided Al Qaida material support in the form of explosives, food, and logistical help," the report said. "Operational structural resembles what was formerly the Al Qaida organization in Saudi Arabia.

"The idea of an overall commander is a Western delusion — no single leader orchestrates Al Qaida operations in Iraq," the report added. "Each network operates independently and has its own fighters, funding, logistical support, recruitment and training."

Continue reading "WHy we can't just leave..the BITTER REALITY of this world war" »

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And it begins, the democrats begin the campaign for 2008 with 1975

Pelosi, Reid Urge Bush To Begin Iraq Pullout

Despite the warnings that Iraq would sink into an internecine war, despite the FACT that we have no solution to the terrorists who would then make Iraq Afghanistan, we have a repeat of 22 Gia Long street on the horizon.

While I am against any increase in troops for its own sake, and against a reinforcement of FAILED STRATEGIES AND TACTICS, there is no way to avoid the conclusion that in withdrawing from Iraq, and in viewing the democratic party leaders first foray into foreign affairs, they have revealed themselves at the leadership level to be EXTREME.


House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid declared yesterday that "it is time to bring the war to a close" and warned President Bush that sending more U.S. troops to Iraq would be unacceptable to the Democratic majorities that have just taken over Congress.

Directly challenging Bush's wartime leadership on their second day in charge on Capitol Hill, Democrats Pelosi (Calif.) and Reid (Nev.) sent Bush a letter suggesting that, instead of starting a short-term escalation, he begin a phased withdrawal of U.S. forces in the next four to six months. The mission of remaining troops, they said, should be shifted away from combat toward more training, logistics and counterterrorism.

The newly ascendant Democrats are trying to preempt the president before he announces his new strategy. As he prepares for a nationally televised address next week, officials said, Bush is considering three main options to bolster U.S. forces in Iraq: a relatively modest deployment of fewer than 4,000 additional troops, a middle-ground alternative involving about 9,000 and, the most aggressive idea, flowing 20,000 more troops into the country.


Can anyone doubt that the democratic result here will be to REPEAT the Israeli mistake in Lebanon?

The democratic leaders are for halting the casualties of american soldiers and instead protecting them with the lives of the american peoples endangered as result

Can there be a doubt that the terrorists emboldened as a result of Iraq's abandonment to the tune of the Nasrallahs....

will arrive in the USA convinced we are vulnerable?

Is there any doubt that whatever the reality WAS in 2003, Iraq is central to to the war against islamofascists now?

Is there any doubt that whatever the reality of a civil war without influence supply and incitement by Iraq and Syria, the now revealed democratic plan will yield the worst defeat for the USA since 1942?

Continue reading "And it begins, the democrats begin the campaign for 2008 with 1975" »

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GAZA CAM

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posted by Watcher at permanent link# 1 Comments

Friday, January 05, 2007

Have Pen, will Travel

... But ye shall pass before your brethren armed, all the mighty men of valour, and help them.

Joshua, 1:14

Recently our Ethiopian cousins have taken it upon themselves to invade their neighbours, the Somalis, in a large-scale and dynamic war. They didn't wait for months to get U.N. approval that would have meant limiting terms of engagement to meaninglessness, didn't wait for Russian and Chinese vetos, and didn't bring along CNN to monitor each and every outrage committed by national soldiers. The Ethiopian government had and interest in local affairs and took military action to correct what they saw as a threat to their nation and its people. In their case I applaud their decision. I wish I were there to cover the action as a first-hand reporter, in spite of my limited abilities as an objective reporter and my opaque writing style. As bloggers and private citizens we have unique opportunites to present to the larger world our views as untainted by conformities as they might be.

We might not compete as ably with major news producers who give us such brilliance as the copy on a South African mercenary in the early 1970s who was eating a piece of beef jerky when a reporter asked him what it was, to which the mercenary replied: "It's a baby's arm." Yes, the reporter panicked and wretched. We might not be able as bloggers to compete with that kind of reportorial genius. But we might do something else, almost as worthy: we might be able to report the facts as they are without ideological white-washes and flights of morally outraged dramatic fancy. But only if we are there, wherever 'there" is next time.

Therefore, allow me to humbly suggest that we start a travel fund for intrepid bloggers who are willing and able to write clear and unironic prose that anyone can understand at a glance. As a pool of contributors we could perhaps support one blogger's efforts in a place of our mutual choosing. Next year we could send someone immediately to a hot-spot to get what we would like: more or less what we might consider the truth as known to our own trusted colleagues. That might be worth $10.00 from each of us.

We likely pay as much for our local papers, only to be outraged rightly by them. personally I would love to see Pastorius's copy appearing hourly from the heated front. With some co-ordinated effort on the part of many of us if not all, we should easily be able to send someone somewhere to cover our own interests, even if it is without the approval of the U.N. and the French elite.

Let us know at Covenant Zone.
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posted by Dag at permanent link# 7 Comments

Fight for Al-Andaluz rekindled

Via Dhimmi Watch this charming story of muslims trying to establish a muslim pilgrimage in Cordoba:
Spain's bishops are alarmed by ambitious plans to recreate the city of Cordoba - once the heart of the ancient Islamic kingdom of al-Andalus - as a pilgrimage site for Muslims throughout Europe.

Plans include the construction of a half-size replica of Cordoba's eighth century great mosque, according to the head of Cordoba's Muslim Association. Funds for the project are being sought from the governments of the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait, and Muslim organisations in Morocco and Egypt.Other big mosques are reportedly planned for Medina Azahara near Cordoba, Seville and Granada.

The bishops of those cities are alarmed at the construction of ostentatious mosques, fearing that the church's waning influence may be further eclipsed by resurgent Islam financed from abroad. Up to one million Muslims are estimated to live in Spain. Many are drawn by a romantic nostalgia for the lost paradise of Al-Andalus, the caliphate that ruled Spain for more than five centuries.
The whole story is a text book example of muslim expropriation and cultural imperialism. First comes the hurt accusation:
Mansur Escudero, president of Spain's Islamic Council, has challenged the current head of Spain's Episcopal Conference, Bishop Ricardo Blazquez of Bilbao, to explain why Muslims could not pray in Cordoba's mosque. Mr Escudero said he had been encouraged by the Pope's act of prayer in Istanbul's Blue Mosque on his recent visit to Turkey. "It showed that mosques are open to Christian worshippers," he said. "Could not Muslims pray in Cordoba's mosque?"
This by itself deserves an educational thrashing, for all falsehood implied. Go into any mosque anywhere, let alone in truly islamic countries like Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Respectfully take off your shoes, approach the front (what christians would call the altar) and start reciting the Lords prayer. And watch how the opennes of the mosque dissolves even before you make it past 'Thy kingdom come'.

But Bishop Blazquez is not of a bad sort. He thinks it through and not wanting to offend anyone he comes up with this:
Bishop Blazquez replied that public collective praying was prohibited, but he supposed private or individual prayer was acceptable.
The reaction was as swift as it was predictable:
Mr Escudero then announced that Muslims would henceforth return to Cordoba's mosque to pray "in a respectful, private and individual capacity". The bishops hit back, insisting that "Muslims cannot in any way pray in Cordoba cathedral".
Give a dedicated muslim a finger...

It's a good thing the dear bishop made a stand at last. But he should never have tried to accomodate. In islamic law, once a right is granted it is granted forever, much like land once possessed by muslims is muslim land forever. Which explains the preoccupation of radical muslims with Al-Andaluz. And this episode just proves that Bin Ladens call to 'liberate Al-Andaluz' was not just mere posturing.

It'll be interesting to see how this story develops.
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UK: Physician Suspended From Practicing Medicine For Criticizing Islam

And, get this, he didn't even specifically name Islam as the religion he was criticizing (from the Scotsman):


Dr Mick Russon, who has been an associate GP at the Hillswick health centre since 2004, was suspended by the Shetland Health Board after he sent out a 46-page booklet, entitled Proclamation, to more than 200 people in the parish of Northmavine. The health authority took the disciplinary action after receiving a complaint from a member of the public. His case has now been referred to the General Medical Council.

The pamphlet makes no direct reference to the Islamic faith, but critics claim that Dr Russon's repeated references to a "Babylonian Moon God" and Satan are a thinly veiled attack on Allah and that he is asserting that Islam is Satanic.

Dr Russon states in the pamphlet: "Satan is the Babylonian Moon God; a cult that has become probably the most oppressive of women throughout time.

"There are probably more people worshipping the Moon God at this moment in time than at any previous time in the history of mankind; it is probable that most who follow him do so out of fear and not reverence.

"As each successive world empire has reached its height, it is largely the conflict between politics and finance that brings it down. We have seen this only too well in recent days, when the buildings that represented the centre of global trade were destroyed by those who carry the symbols of the Babylonian Moon God. I of course refer to the events now universally referred to as 9/11."


If you think about it, those who decided that he had criticized Islam by publishing this pamphlet were condemning themselves. For how could they have decided that he was criticizing Islam, if they did not themselves recognize Allah in the Physician's description of Satan?
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To Win in Iraq, Strike Teheran..

I have been calling for this for more than a year now. Until we degrade the effectiveness of the Iranian war machine we will never be able to win either in Iraq or the wider Middle East. Air strikes on Iran's WMD, dual use, and conventional weapons facilities would inflict massive damage and cost billions of dollars to repair. Those billions would not be available to support Hamas, Hezbullah, Al-Sadr, SCIRI/BADR and every other nefarious plan being hatched by the Mullahs. Here is the article:

By Robert Tracinski, Real Clear Politics Blog
January 4, 2007

"As early as next week, President Bush is expected to give a major speech announcing a new strategy in Iraq. This is an excellent opportunity for the administration to announce a big strategic change that could dramatically improve America's prospects in Iraq. Unfortunately, however, no one has been discussing the one option that would actually have this effect. The president's current opportunity should not be underestimated. As weak as he seems, politically, President Bush has no real competition in setting policy for Iraq. Between the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays, the Iraq Study Group had its 15 minutes of fame and faded away without having any significant effect on the debate over the war. The Democrats who take control of Congress this month have no unified message on Iraq other than a vague, general defeatism, and they offer no definite plan for what America should do--except, of course, their usual plan to carp about whatever the administration does. So the president has the ability to retake the initiative, both politically and militarily.

What will he do?

An internal Pentagon review of the war, requested by Bush as part of his attempt to sidestep the Iraq Study Group, has considered three options: "go big," "go long," or "go home." Going big means dramatically increasing the number of US combat troops in Iraq, giving us the ability to further subdue Sunni areas like the Anbar Province and enabling us to crack down on the Shiite militias who are stoking Iraq's sectarian conflict. Going long means committing more resources to the long-term process of training Iraqi forces and building the stability of the Iraqi government. Going home means withdrawing US troops.We all know Bush isn't going to accept the third option. America is not going to go home. Going long might be a nice aspiration, but Bush has only two years left in office. He has no idea who his successor will be and what he (or she) will do. If he wants to succeed in Iraq, he has to do something now. So we can expect President Bush to go big, ordering a "surge" in US combat troops in Iraq.

But there is another, far more effective option: go wide.

Going wide means recognizing that Iraq is just one front in a regional war against an Islamist Axis centered in Iran--and we cannot win that war without confronting the enemy directly, outside of Iraq. Going wide means recognizing that the conflict in Iraq is fueled and magnified by the intervention of Iran and Syria. One of the reasons the Iraq Study Group report flopped was that its key recommendation--its one unique idea--was for America to negotiate with Iran and Syria in order to convince these countries to aid in the "stabilization" of Iraq. This proposal wasn't so much argued to death as it was laughed to death, because it is clear that Iran and Syria have done everything they can to de-stabilize Iraq, supporting both sides of the sectarian conflict there. It is obvious that both regimes have a profound interest in an American failure and retreat in Iraq. After all, if America can successfully use force to replace a hostile dictatorship with a free society, then the Iranian and Syrian regimes are doomed. So as a matter of elementary self-preservation, they have done everything they can to plunge Iraq into chaos, supporting guerrillas and militias on all sides of the sectarian conflict. Just today, a US official confirmed new evidence "that Iran is working closely with both the Shiite militias and Sunni Jihadist groups." Most ominously, Iran has brazenly provided training and weapons to the Shiite militias--who carry rifles straight off the assembly lines of Iranian weapons factories--and these militias have emerged in the last year as the greatest threat to US troops and to the Iraqi government.

How can we quell the conflict in Iraq, further suppress the Sunni insurgents, and begin to dismantle the Shiite militias--if we don't to anything to stop those who are funding, training, and supporting these enemies? Just as we can't eliminate terrorism without confronting the states who sponsor terrorism, so we can't suppress the Sunni and Shiite insurgencies in Iraq without confronting the outside powers who support these insurgents. Every day, we see the disastrous results of fighting this war narrowly inside Iraq while ignoring the external forces that are helping to drive it. To fight one Shiite militia tied to Iran--Sadr's Mahdi Army--we have recently signaled our support for an Iraqi political coalition that includes another Shiite militia tied to Iran, Abdul Aziz al-Hakim's Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq and its Badr Brigades. And so it should be no surprise that a US military raid on Hakim's headquarters last week netted two Iranian diplomats and members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards--the outfit responsible for supporting global terrorism. That's what happens when we fight the symptoms in Iraq rather than fighting the disease.

Going wide also means recognizing that more is at stake in this war than just the fate of Iraq. This is a war to determine who and what will dominate the Middle East. Will this vital region be dominated by a nuclear-armed Iran, working to spread Islamic fascism? Or will America be able to exert its military influence and political ideals in the region? This is a momentous question. But observe that the only major foreign-policy debate today is about what to do in Iraq. The anti-war left has not succeeded in inducing America to withdraw in defeat from the Middle East--not yet. But they have succeeded in narrowing our mental focus, inducing us to talk endlessly about what is happening inside Iraq, about whether or not we need more troops there, or whether we need to throw our support to a new political coalition within the Iraqi parliament, or whether we should put more emphasis on Anbar or Baghdad, and on and on--while we ignore the big picture of the Middle East.

The big picture is Iran's attempt to establish itself as a regional superpower, spreading its system of religious totalitarianism and rule by terror across the Middle East. Iraq is one piece in this malignant mosaic--but it is only one piece. The Iranians seek to extend their control over the region by supporting Shiite Islamist militias in Iraq. But they are also trying to achieve their goal by propping up the Assad regime in Syria, by arming Hezbollah in Lebanon, by arming and funding Hamas in the Palestinian territories, by hosting Holocaust denial conferences in an attempt to justify a war to destroy Israel, by harboring fugitive al-Qaeda leaders, and by supporting terrorists and anti-American strongmen (such as Venezuela's Hugo Chavez) around the world. In this context, to try to win the war just by sending more troops to Baghdad is like trying to save a patient by removing a tumor in his lung--when the cancer has already metastasized through his entire body. A few of our leaders have put together the big picture. In a recent Washington Post op-ed, for example, Senator Lieberman warned that "while we are naturally focused on Iraq, a larger war is emerging. On one side are extremists and terrorists led and sponsored by Iran, on the other moderates and democrats supported by the United States." Similarly, President Bush warned us last year that "the Iranian regime has clear aims: they want to drive America out of the region, to destroy Israel, and to dominate the broader Middle East."

But these leaders have so far avoided advocating the use of military force against Iran. No one is willing to follow the implications of the big picture to the only rational conclusion: we are already in a regional war with Iran, and we need to start fighting it as a regional war. And the most effective place to fight that war is at its center, by targeting the Islamist regime in Tehran. Instead, our current policy is a bizarre, irrational holdover from the Cold War. In a New York Daily News op-ed, for example, Michael Rubin assures us that confronting Iran "need not mean military action." Instead, he advocates a policy of stronger words, from beefed up Radio Free Europe-style broadcasts to rhetoric such as the "Axis of Evil." His most telling recommendation is this one: "Just as Ronald Reagan championed striking shipyard workers in Poland in 1981, so too should Bush support independent Iranian trade unions."

Rubin is advocating a strategy I have called Cold War II: fighting Iran the way we fought the Soviet Union, through indirect battles against insurgent proxies (the real parallel between Iraq and Vietnam) and through moral support for Iranian dissidents. But this is brinksmanship without a brink. The reason we had to fight the Soviets indirectly was because they had thousands of nuclear weapons aimed at us. There is no reason to fear such an escalation in a battle against Iran. In fact, the gruesome irony of today is that Iran may soon be able to threaten us with nuclear weapons--but only if we continue to act as if they already possessed a nuclear deterrent. The fact is that we are fighting the wrong war in the wrong place--though not in the way critics of that war complain. We are trying to fight a regional war by limiting ourselves to a local conflict--and we are fighting that war in Baghdad, when it has its source in Damascus and Tehran. There is only one way to correct this massive strategic blunder--and that is to go wide."
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Winds of War: Thinking the Unthinkable- Nuclear Terrorism

With the recent talk on IBA about the potential of a nuclear attack by terrorists in this country, I thought a repost of an article I did a while back is appropriate.

Just what are we facing if a Hiroshima - aka: a ‘crude’ nuclear device about 10-12 kilotons - size nuke was detonated by Al Qaeda in a major city in the US.

“A 12.5 kiloton nuclear explosion in New York Harbor will produce casualties more than one order of magnitude greater than those inflicted at the World Trade Center. Blast and thermal effects would kill 52,000 people immediately. Another 238,000 would be exposed to direct radiation from the blast, and of these 44,000 would suffer radiation sickness and more than 10,000 of these would receive lethal doses. In addition to this direct radiation from the explosion, fallout would expose another million and a half people. For this group, the 24 hour cumulative dose would be high enough to kill another 200,000 and cause several hundred thousand cases of radiation sickness. In addition there would be many thousands of people with mechanical and thermal injuries. Casualties on this scale would immediately overwhelm medical facilities leading to a high mortality rate among those injured but not killed by the initial blast and thermal effects. Over 1000 hospital beds would be destroyed by blast, and 8700 beds would be in areas with radiation exposures high enough to cause radiation sickness.”

The most obvious delivery system that al Qaeda would use is what has come to be known as a ’suitcase bomb’. A nuclear ‘backpack’ or ‘suitcase’ bomb would appear to be in the one to ten kiloton range. According to Roland Watson, let’s see what kind of damage a 1 kiloton bomb would do.

“As the fireball expands rapidly to its maximum diameter of 460 feet, its centre rages at a temperature of 10,000,000° C for its brief lifetime. Note that temperatures in the WTC attacks were unlikely to have exceeded 5,000° C. Metallic objects up to 450 feet from ground zero of the initial flash will vaporise. Metallic objects up to 670 feet away will melt. It is needless to guess what happens to people caught out in the open at these ranges – they cease to exist in any meaningful sense of the word and join the raw material for the later fallout. At 1400 feet from ground zero, rubbers and plastics will ignite and melt whilst wood will char and burn. For victims out in the open, 3rd degree burns are inflicted up to 0.4 miles away, 2nd degree burns up to half a mile away and 1st degree burns at up to nearly a mile away. It is at the extremity of this range that we have the "open oven door effect" which needs no further explanation.

Meanwhile, those buildings which survived the melting effects of the heat radiation will be finished off by the high winds further into the city centre as winds approaching 670 mph will level or badly damage even steel concrete structures within 740 feet of the blast. No one inside this perimeter can hope to survive unless they are in good underground shelters. Where the wind speed drops to 380 mph at about 1050 feet, tall multi-storey buildings will be lucky to be left standing and survivors of the heat pulse will suffer potentially fatal lung injuries. As the speed drops to 225 mph at about 1650 feet, most dwelling houses will be wrecked and the streets blocked by debris. Flying fragments become the killer rather than sheer air pressure at these distances. What the initial radiation pulse did not ignite, the blast does by igniting new fires due to damaged power lines, gas mains and oil tanks. Asphyxiation can also occur at these ranges as much of the air is devoted to fuelling uncontrollable firestorms, which have no mercy on wooden housing.”

And what unlucky American city could be the target?

“Which is the unlucky American city? Certainly, it will be a city and it will be American as far as an Islamic fanatic with an extremely rare and potent weapon is concerned. New York? Los Angeles? San Francisco? New York has had a hard time of it with the two WTC attacks and the downing of flight 587 (yes, I believe it was a terrorist attack), so we may be forgiven for thinking the next attack will happen elsewhere. However, the Eastern seaboard is the favored route for bringing in smuggled items and terrorists will not want to spend critical time in long, hazardous journeys westwards. We know that some of the WTC terrorists were based and trained in Florida and that the alleged terrorist on trial just now was caught in the mid-southern state of Oklahoma (ominously he had undertaken Cessna flight training).

I suggest that coastal cities further south or even into the Gulf of Mexico may be at greater risk. Furthermore, a city with a flat topology may be favored above more contoured cities since hills will deflect and absorb the blast waves as was the case in Hiroshima and Nagasaki attacks. Hiroshima was a flatter city than Nagasaki and paid for this with a greater death toll and destruction per square mile. Seeking to get the last iota of destructive power out of their devilish device, the terrorists would also favor southern cities because of the hotter conditions and better atmospheric conditions. In other words, clear, sunny skies are better "tinderbox" conditions as would that time of day since Bin Laden would want clear conditions for the infamous mushroom cloud to be recorded by the world’s media.”

There are two sites on the Net where you can simulate the effects of nuke attack on a US city. One is the Nuclear Weapon Effects Calculator which provides an interactive tool intended to give an idea of the devastating blast effects of ground-level, shallow subsurface, and low-altitude nuclear weapon detonations. You can choose a yield from 1 kiloton to 4 megatons on one of several major US cities. The other site is even more interesting. Plug in your zip code and see the effects of a nuke dropped on your neighborhood.

To see these dry stats in action, view the recently discovered video footage of the results of the Hiroshima blast. Then envision that in your town or city. Don’t you think it’s time we stop these wacko rogue states before this happens? Or will it take 100,000 American dead to finally wake up the appeasers and apologists – or would they just say we brought it upon ourselves.

Probably so. As the old saying goes, “You can’t argue with drunkards and fools.”

But what about the American response? The blog, Stop Asking Why, speculates.

“If the attack is nuclear, there will be massive pressure exerted by the public to respond with a nuclear attack. But, on whom? This enemy lives in several countries and does not wear a uniform or have clearly marked military installations for easy targeting. More problematic is the fact that they live among civilians. Americans must come to grips with the real possibility that we will be left with only two viable response options: staying our hands and responding basically by continuing what we're doing already; or knowingly killing tens or even hundreds of thousands of civilians in order to respond to a nuclear attack with our own nuclear attack.”

Basically, the question is who do we attack? The terrorists detonated the bomb but who supplied them. Can we find out and retaliate against the supplier?

Maintaining total anonymity is difficult with a nuclear device. All radioisotopes possess a “signature” that exposes their point of origin. This signature makes it easier to trace the material and potentially point out who supplied it to the responsible terrorist group, making reprisals more likely.”

Is the government capable of such detective work? From an article in the New York Times in February of ’06.

“The Pentagon has formed a team of nuclear experts to analyze the fallout from a terrorist nuclear attack on American soil in an effort to identify the attackers, officials have said. The team, which can draw on hundreds of federal experts, uses such tools as robots that gather radioactive debris and sensitive gear to detect the origins of a device, whether a true atomic weapon or a so-called dirty bomb, that uses ordinary explosives to spew radioactivity. The objective is to determine quickly who exploded the device and where it came from, in part to clarify the options to strike back, the officials said. The government also hopes that terrorists will be less likely to use a nuclear device if they know that it can be traced.”

If we can trace the nuke back to its origins, we could retaliate against that country. But it will have consequences.

“The problem remains that we face an enemy who is motivated by death, not the desire to continue living. Instead of being deterred by a response that kills on such a massive scale, they will be encouraged. Instead of convincing their leaders of the futility of their actions in continuing the war with us (the goal in our use of atomic bombs against Japan in WWII), our nuclear response will entrench this enemy. It will help him recruit. It will solidify his support among fellow Muslims.”

And what about the social reaction? I’ve blogged on this before. Here’s what I think. After such an attack, citizens will sweep away any and all appeasing arguments for thoughtful sanity and calm and demand the government isolate any and all individuals that could pose a threat from more terrorist attacks on our soil. It won’t matter if they are while, black, red, brown or purple – only if are Muslim or support Muslims in this country.

A nuke detonation of American soil will result in an untold crisis for Muslims in America and the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Muslims in the nation that supplied the terrorists with the nuclear device. Of course if the device was either stolen or purchased from one of our ‘allies’ then this would further complicate our retaliation.

There really isn’t any pleasant solution. For us, it will be war on a terrifying level. For Muslims, their lives will be “short, nasty and brutish”.

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posted by WC at permanent link# 3 Comments

Polonium Found In Another London Restaurant

From BBC News:


The radioactive element believed to have killed ex-Russian agent Alexander Litvinenko has been detected in another central London restaurant.

Polonium-210 was found at the Pescatori Restaurant in Mayfair and staff are being tested, health officials said.

The police had asked the Health Protection Agency to monitor the establishment as it was "linked to the Litvinenko police investigation".

A total of 12 people in London have now tested positive for radioactivity.
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posted by Pastorius at permanent link# 3 Comments

Now just imagine if it was Hizballah instead

GUARDSMEN OVERRUN AT THE BORDER

A U.S. Border Patrol entry Identification Team site was overrun Wednesday night along Arizona's border with Mexico.

According to the Border Patrol, an unknown number of gunmen attacked the site in the state's West Desert Region around 11 p.m. The site is manned by National Guardsmen. Those guardsmen were forced to retreat.The Border Patrol will not say whether shots were fired. However, no Guardsmen were injured in the incident.

The Border Patrol says the incident occurred somewhere along the 120 mile section of the border between Nogales and Lukeville. The area is known as a drug corridor. Last year, 124-thousand pounds of illegal drugs were confiscated in this area.

The Border patrol says the attackers quickly retreated back into Mexico.

WTF?

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posted by Epaminondas at permanent link# 6 Comments

Somalia the Model

On December 24 last year I posted on the Ethiopian offensive against shariah-ruled Somalia, and have kept a keen eye on developments there since. Now that the events seem to have reached their conclusion, with Ethiopian prime minister Zenawi having declared the mission completed and the troops ready to withdraw (Jihad Watch, January 2, 2007), I write my summary on the affair.

I can think of no better summing up of my thoughts on it than the commentary on Genesis 6:9. On the words, “Noah was in his generations a man righteous and whole-hearted”, Rashi says, “There are among our rabbis who commend him[, saying]: then obviously if he had been in a generous of righteous men he would have been more righteous; and there are those who fault him[, saying]: according to his generation he was righteous, but if he had been in Abraham’s generation he would not have counted for anything”. Both views that Rashi brings up represent the two minds that I, and I suspect many other observers, are at regarding this affair. The first view is the relative view of Noah’s status, with expressed optimism, while the second view is the absolute view, with the thought that that generation could have done better.

I had posted that post with the relative view in my mind, the view of it against the sad backdrop of near-total dhimmitude everywhere: the USA’s entanglement in Iraq, and consequently the report of Baker’s Iraq Surrender Group; the ongoing appeasement of Islam in Europe; India’s reluctance to take matters into hand within its own borders and in its Muslim-occupied territories (Kashmir, Pakistan and Bangladesh); Thailand’s coup installing a Muslim prime minister in order to negotiate “peace” with the Muslim invaders in the south; and last but not least, the constant bungling of Ehud Olmert, the dhimmi prime minister of Israel, both in Lebanon last summer and now with his silence in the face of having one of Israel’s towns bombarded by rockets daily. Against such a backdrop, how can Ethiopia’s initiative fail to arouse cheers of optimism on our side?

[...]

In full on Our Children Are The Guarantors »
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posted by ziontruth at permanent link# 0 Comments

The view of the ** TRIUMPHANT??** Wallace progressive wing?

Everyone should read this article.

Okay it's the Nation, but still.
moyers_lbj.jpg

First, we have to consider the source.
Okay, Bill Moyers is a former high official in the LBJ admin. He represents the rank and file leadership of the pre and post Vietnam democratic party. This is a main line position right? This is not some group of freaks of the left, correct?

Listening on XM during a long ride, to Hubert Humphrey dictate his memoirs, Mrs. Epa and I were treated to his description of meeting what was then his hero, Henry Wallace, former VP under FDR. HHH viewed this man as a leader of values for the people and the common man. A leader for better economic and political conditions for working people. HHH records that instead he was crushed by the realization that Wallace in fact someone who disliked the system (you know, the one invented by Jefferson, Madison, Hamilton, et al?) and was in fact left of being a socialist..and ended up opposing the Berlin Airlift, since Joe Stalin and his theories represented something closer to the the needs and rights of the working people than Mr. Harry Truman, the man who served in his army, the man who went broke selling men's clothes and rose to president.

So when you read this article, remember you are reading from what is the dead center of the leadership of the 60's democratic party and undoubtedly highly representative of it now.

The word Iraq doesn't even occur in this article.
The word terror doesn't even occur in this article.

Instead, the trumpet call is this: "government, ... "is not simply the way we express ourselves collectively but also often the only way we preserve our freedom from private power and its incursions."

Bill, government usually IS the prime agent of incursion of power into our lives..UNINVITED

Continue reading "The view of the ** TRIUMPHANT??** Wallace progressive wing?" »

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posted by Epaminondas at permanent link# 0 Comments

The Hinge of Fate

"I felt as if I were walking with destiny, and that all my past life had been but a preparation for this hour and this trial."
-- Winston Churchill (On becoming Prime Minister)

"I felt as if I were walking with destiny, and that all my blogging life had been but a preparation for this hour and this hearing."
-- Isaac Schrödinger (On becoming a Canadian Convention refugee)

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posted by Isaac Schrödinger at permanent link# 2 Comments

The Lt. Dan Band

Received last month, via email, with links and a graphic added:

We just got back from the 3rd Annual Coalition to Salute America's Heroes Road to Recovery Conference. The girls and I missed the first three days of the conference due to classes and finals, but Dave said the speakers and the sessions were unbelievable.

We all were able to attend the closing banquet, where Gary Sinise provided the
entertainment. What an awesome guy! You could just see how much he enjoyed playing for these wounded and disabled heroes. He and his band played for about 1 1/2 to 2 hours without a break, then said that they would play a few more songs. Twenty minutes later, he said they would play one more song. The song was Lee Greenwood's, "Proud to be an American." Wow! You've never experienced that song until you've been in a room of American heroes singing along! You could see how tired Gary Sinise was, but he offered to sign autographs and pose with each person that wanted a picture. What a guy! Gary Sinise has also played at many USO shows abroad.

Just a note about the Coalition. The organization hosted 100 veteran families from Wed. to Sun. at Walt Disney World, provided the flights as well as the hotel rooms and passes to the Disney park and some of the group meals. The conference covered a wide array of subjects from how to make yourself marketable for job interviews, a job fair, sessions for the kids to learn how to cope with their parent's disabilities or injuries to the difficult-to-approach subject of sexuality.

I was just so impressed! I'm ready to start volunteering again...

Take care,
Cathie


Cathie also sent me a link for The Lt. Dan Band. The name for the band derives, of course, from the acclaimed film Forrest Gump, in which Gary Sinise portrayed a double amputee who received his injuries during the Vietnam War. For many people who watched that movie, Gary Sinise will forever be Lieutenant Dan, Forrest's commanding officer who finally learned to manage his injuries and get back to enjoying life.

At the bottom of the Lt. Dan Band Webspace is mention of the conference alluded to in the above email:

We ended our 2006 schedule with a pair of performances. The first was a concert for wounded soldiers and their families at a conference in Orlando, FL (saluteheroes.org) We then traveled to Guantanamo Bay, Cuba to play for the troops stationed there....



The Lt. Dan Band web page provides links to further information about the band's mission and activities.

Additional information about the Coalition to Salute America's Heroes is HERE.

[Source for pictures]
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posted by Always On Watch at permanent link# 0 Comments


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