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Governments are instituted among Men,
deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed,
That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends,
it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it,
and to institute new Government

Saturday, January 07, 2017

US INTELLIGENCE STATES WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT: Disclosures through WikiLeaks did not contain any evident forgeries

All through Junior High School, High School, and university the stentorian pronouncements from from Pravda, Izvestia and Interfax were instantly regarded as what would later become SNL material. No one I ever knew, including the most vociferous of anti-vietnam dissidents regarded the mouthpieces of the Krushchev’s, Brezhnev’s, and Andropov’s as anything but farcical outright lies or the orgasmic self delusion of the Politburo.
As predicted there is nothing released which is news, or what I would consider further credible evidence. Nothing technical is produced at all. ZERO. There is some interesting stuff, though.
Let’s stipulate that this report represents objective reality to examine the case made…something impossible to do in objective reality
Regarding Russia, in looking for a goal of all this, the words purpose, or motive do not appear in the 25 pages. Goal appears 7 times.
We assess Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered an influence campaign in 2016 aimed at the US presidential election. Russia’s goals were to undermine public faith in the US democratic process, denigrate Secretary Clinton, and harm her electability and potential presidency. We further assess Putin and the Russian Government developed a clear preference for President-elect Trump.
Why they would PREFER Trump tells me they are as stupid, maybe more stupid than our intelligence and experts in policy.
IVAN is going to face a better, larger air force and navy with Trump. Clinton would have continued Obama’s policies, DEMANDED by her own party as doctrine.
IVAN, whose GNP CRATERED by 40% as a function of oil (export) prices, is going to face a Trump whose DRILLING, FRACKING, and coal use is going to explode the energy market and depress their export market DRAMATICALLY.
IVAN is going to face TRUMP led NATO which is going to see it’s members do whatever they have to remain ‘current’ in accounts payable so that Trump will be there. Thoughts that what he had to say were anything but negotiation represent ‘Trump is antisemitic’ level hysteria. IVAN may be this stupid as well.
But to execute one of many long range attacks to destroy our faith in elections I can believe. Stupid also, but I can believe this goal. IVAN never understood this place.
There one other goal which looks to be tactical but may not be, in grading this report.
Pro-Kremlin proxy Vladimir Zhirinovskiy (like Putin), leader of the nationalist Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, proclaimed just before the election that if President-elect Trump won, Russia would “drink champagne” in anticipation of being able to advance its positions on Syria and Ukraine.
Syria is certainly one of if not THE LONGEST standing ally of IVAN since 1917. But to chance getting caught out over trying to alter the outcome of the US election? Not unless there are thoughts about getting Turkey as an ally. Are we all remembering that Iraq has now openly discussed changing alliances and abrogating the treaties with the US (and Duterte, and Australia openly discussing the idea that China is a better long term strategic ally than the USA?)

Israeli spy satellite finds cache of advanced Russian missiles in Syria

We may be looking at IVAN seeing in his delusion the inverse of 1989 when repressed ally after ally, ran from them for us. Add Turkey to Syria and IVAN can drive or ship by train, supplies to a warm water base in the eastern med, and the Black Sea becomes …. well, that’s obvious.
THAT OUTCOME is worth rolling some dice. It’s not mentioned.
Why is the ONI more certain now then they were before the election?
The Kremlin’s principal international propaganda outlet RT (formerly Russia Today) has actively collaborated with WikiLeaks. RT’s editor-in-chief visited WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange at the Ecuadorian Embassy in London in August 2013, where they discussed renewing his broadcast contract with RT, according to Russian and Western media. Russian media subsequently announced that RT had become “the only Russian media company” to partner with WikiLeaks and had received access to “new leaks of secret information.” RT routinely gives Assange sympathetic coverage and provides him a platform to denounce the United States.
Circumstantial case, but these are facts, and why would they NOT support Assange since if he is truthful about his sources, they are helping him hurt us anyway. Like the CIA bankrolling Polish Labor unions (a most moral use of funds, wouldn’t you say?)
On 6 August, RT published an English-language video called “Julian Assange Special: Do WikiLeaks Have the E-mail That’ll Put Clinton in Prison?” and an exclusive interview with Assange entitled “Clinton and ISIS Funded by the Same Money.” RT’s most popular video on Secretary Clinton, “How 100% of the Clintons’ ‘Charity’ Went to…Themselves,” had more than 9 million views on social media platforms. RT’s most popular English language video about the President-elect, called “Trump Will Not Be Permitted To Win,” featured Assange and had 2.2 million views.
This is a big SO WHAT?
But here is the self inflicted COUP DE GRACE:
We assess with high confidence that the GRU relayed material it acquired from the DNC and senior Democratic officials to WikiLeaks. Moscow most likely chose WikiLeaks because of its self-proclaimed reputation for authenticity. Disclosures through WikiLeaks did not contain any evident forgeries.

The US INTELLIGENCE STATES WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT: Disclosures through WikiLeaks did not contain any evident forgeries.

Read from here,  pages 6-12. Of course this was all known before the election.
Around all the hoopla, the case made finally devolves on the NO PROOF SHOWN argument which at it center is ..


RT … the direct descendant of PRAVDA, IZVESTIA and INTERFAX, the revealer of truth?
Not mentioned, Richard Black is s STATE SENATOR, and RICHARD BLACK IS THIS MORON

If Russia did this, then FUCK sending 35 guys home.
If Russia did this then we can STILL blow the living shit out out of ISIS with them.
But if Russia did this, then tomorrow morning at shift change in the command center of the Russian Army Strategic Rocket Forces HQ, this is what they should see:


Just 30 seconds. I think they would understand.
But what the CIA does not understand, is that THEY are in the same bubble as CNN, Rachel Maddow, the Young Turks, John Podesta, HRC, Brian WIlliams, Chris Matthews, the NYT, WaPo, and every other KNOWLEDGEABLE PERSON OF PROFESSIONAL EXPERTISE.
They have LOST THE FAITH of the people. It’s not there. This loss is so dramatic that real proof in evidence is FAR MORE IMPORTANT at this moment, to get us out of this dangerous situation between the intelligence community and the people it serves, than any consideration of methods or people compromised. If there are folks in danger get them out, and bring them out to testify.
It’s that bad.
And the smart money says, NO ONE AUTHORITATIVE INSIDE, in the IC of the USA is saying this.
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posted by Epaminondas at permanent link#


Blogger Pastorius said...

Great article, Epa.

Only one question: Who are these "35 guys" you are talking about?

Saturday, January 07, 2017 5:04:00 pm  
Blogger Pastorius said...

ANOTHER QUESTION: Does this seem significant to you?


Saturday, January 07, 2017 5:05:00 pm  
Blogger Epaminondas said...

35 russki diplomats Obama chucked

Saturday, January 07, 2017 6:09:00 pm  
Blogger Epaminondas said...

ONI built their case on the totality of RT programming in order to establish 'high degree of confidence' in the goals of the Putin administration (assuming they are one and the same). RT could be a more screwed up MSNBC and program no differently with no daddy in Russian government. And the goal of Russia strategically could STILL be to fuck our good feelings about elections. All this is why the CIA must expose the physical evidence

Saturday, January 07, 2017 6:15:00 pm  
Blogger Pastorius said...

Oh yeah, how could I forget?

Saturday, January 07, 2017 6:15:00 pm  

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