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Saturday, April 18, 2009

Netanyahu Will Attack Iran He Has No Choice

Bush's dillydallying left Israel in a corner, And it is almost certain suicide now if he does but absolute suicide if he doesn't.

Had Bush done something with Iran we would not be at this moment now. Obama has signaled he will not back Israel and not just to Israel but the entire Mid-east and their allies.

So when Bibi hits the mullahs what will now stop the rest of the Mid-East from rising up against Israel to crush her finally? What's to stop Russia from coming to the aid of Iran. What's to stop the Taliban from making a move against the Pakistani gov't, trying to grab the nukes? Obama? Are you kidding me? Of the same hardcore in Pakistan from making a stupid move against India?

Bush's inaction has set the board and Obama has just put it all in play. And it will be hell on Earth. Just a matter of time.

from The Times Online

Israel stands ready to bomb Iran's nuclear sites

Sheera Frenkel in Jerusalem

The Israeli military is preparing itself to launch a massive aerial assault on Iran's nuclear facilities within days of being given the go-ahead by its new government.

Among the steps taken to ready Israeli forces for what would be a risky raid requiring pinpoint aerial strikes are the acquisition of three Airborne Warning and Control (AWAC) aircraft and regional missions to simulate the attack.

Two nationwide civil defence drills will help to prepare the public for the retaliation that Israel could face.

“Israel wants to know that if its forces were given the green light they could strike at Iran in a matter of days, even hours. They are making preparations on every level for this eventuality. The message to Iran is that the threat is not just words,” one senior defence official told The Times.

Officials believe that Israel could be required to hit more than a dozen targets, including moving convoys. The sites include Natanz, where thousands of centrifuges produce enriched uranium; Esfahan, where 250 tonnes of gas is stored in tunnels; and Arak, where a heavy water reactor produces plutonium.

The distance from Israel to at least one of the sites is more than 870 miles, a distance that the Israeli force practised covering in a training exercise last year that involved F15 and F16 jets, helicopters and refuelling tankers.

The possible Israeli strike on Iran has drawn comparisons to its attack on the Osirak nuclear facility near Baghdad in 1981. That strike, which destroyed the facility in under 100 seconds, was completed without Israeli losses and checked Iraqi ambitions for a nuclear weapons programme.

“We would not make the threat [against Iran] without the force to back it. There has been a recent move, a number of on-the-ground preparations, that indicate Israel's willingness to act,” said another official from Israel's intelligence community.

He added that it was unlikely that Israel would carry out the attack without receiving at least tacit approval from America, which has struck a more reconciliatory tone in dealing with Iran under its new administration.

An Israeli attack on Iran would entail flying over Jordanian and Iraqi airspace, where US forces have a strong presence.

Ephraim Kam, the deputy director of the Institute for National Security Studies, said it was unlikely that the Americans would approve an attack.

“The American defence establishment is unsure that the operation will be successful. And the results of the operation would only delay Iran's programme by two to four years,” he said.

A visit by President Obama to Israel in June is expected to coincide with the national elections in Iran — timing that would allow the US Administration to re-evaluate diplomatic resolutions with Iran before hearing the Israeli position.

“Many of the leaks or statements made by Israeli leaders and military commanders are meant for deterrence. The message is that if [the international community] is unable to solve the problem they need to take into account that we will solve it our way,” Mr Kam said.

Among recent preparations by the airforce was the Israeli attack of a weapons convoy in Sudan bound for militants in the Gaza Strip.

“Sudan was practice for the Israeli forces on a long-range attack,” Ronen Bergman, the author of The Secret War with Iran, said. “They wanted to see how they handled the transfer of information, hitting a moving target ... In that sense it was a rehearsal.”

Israel has made public its intention to hold the largest-ever nationwide drill next month.

Colonel Hilik Sofer told Haaretz, a daily Israeli newspaper, that the drill would “train for a reality in which during war missiles can fall on any part of the country without warning ... We want the citizens to understand that war can happen tomorrow morning”.

Israel will conduct an exercise with US forces to test the ability of Arrow, its US-funded missile defence system. The exercise would test whether the system could intercept missiles launched at Israel.

“Israel has made it clear that it will not tolerate the threat of a nuclear Iran. According to Israeli Intelligence they will have the bomb within two years ... Once they have a bomb it will be too late, and Israel will have no choice to strike — with or without America,” an official from the
Israeli Defence Ministry said.

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7 Comments:

Blogger Epaminondas said...

The NUMBER of stories like this increases weekly.

I think, given what Obama has in mind, what Emanuel has apparently told the Isaelis (and what that indicates about Obama both towards Israel and the how his crew views the world) ..given the lack of real progress ANYTIME of the diplomatic front... Obama's plans and policies are INCREAING the likelihood of attack by Israel.

Think as if you are Netanyahu right now.

1) There WILL be a HUGE regional war (which Egypt will duck) unless Iran threatens the US so thoroughly we totally cut off Israel VERY PUBLICLY and end not only the 'special relationship' but instead publicly make them into pariahs to the US govt

2) The reaction to an attack on Iran by Hizballah HAMAS (even if 1, above comes true) will be so all encompassing that the idea of making peace with the PLA-HAMAS, and the entire 'peace process' will be a joke, and the real nature of the conflict will reassert itself.

3) It will reveal to other nations what Obama IS REALLY MADE OF, and nations like India will take note, freeing Israel and them to pursue other relationships which make relations with a fickle and undependable USA less important, and perhaps nearly irrelevant in day to day functioning

Every time I try to think like Netanyahu the only thing holding me back is the ability of the IAF to get by the USAF, AND be successful IF a sustained campaign is required (and it is, IMHO). Of course if Israel has intellgence and can use the Jericho missiles to take out things (like air defenses) in the first round, the USAF may be told to just get out of the way, a la Carter

Saturday, April 18, 2009 12:18:00 pm  
Blogger Christine said...

Epa,

Do you think Obama will side with Iran (militarily) when Israel attacks?

Saturday, April 18, 2009 2:42:00 pm  
Blogger Pastorius said...

I think Obama will side with Iran against Israel.

Sadly, I think it is almost inevitable.

Saturday, April 18, 2009 3:47:00 pm  
Blogger Epaminondas said...

He will politically

Militarily ..if he did that.. not only would he be out in 2012, but the repubs would dominate congress in 2010, AND if not, it's possible you would ACTUALLY SEE an emigration of significant numbers of americans who happen to be jewish.

Almost inconceivable

Saturday, April 18, 2009 4:32:00 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Christian Aid charity jumps on Yid-bashing bandwagon: http://archbishop-cranmer.blogspot.com/2009/04/christian-aid-adopts-palestinian.html

Saturday, April 18, 2009 4:50:00 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

What percentage of the suicide killers responsible for the 9/11 attacks were Islamists?

What percentage of the Bali bombers were Islamists?

The London 7/7 bombers?

Madrid?

The USS Cole?

Glasgow Airport?

Mumbai?

Let us pause for a moment to allow ourselves to be re-amazed by the astounding fact that more than ONE single solitary idiot, living in the West, might continue to remain clueless about the nature of the enemy and the enormous importance of a free and thriving Israel.

Saturday, April 18, 2009 11:09:00 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

How could I ever have omitted Beslan from that list. I'm so sorry, little ones :-(

Saturday, April 18, 2009 11:26:00 pm  

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