Thursday, November 08, 2012

WSJ’s INCREDIBLE article on shifting voting populations


FDR’s enduring coalition of the democratic majority which lasted 50 years, is Republican.
Older voters and white working-class voters, once core elements of the Democratic Party, have drifted into the Republican column. Rural and small-town voters, whose grandparents backed the New Deal, now fill the swath of the U.S. that leans reliably GOP.
And the Cities?
But in cities and dynamic suburbs, a rapidly growing force of Latinos, Asian-Americans, African-Americans and higher-income whites emerged this week as the strength of Mr. Obama’s winning Democratic coalition.
“The Democrats now own a coalition of emerging metro areas where the whites and minorities live together, and where they vote Democratic,” said Robert Lang, a demographer who directs the Brookings Mountain West, a research center at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas.
Example?
In northern Virginia’s Fairfax County, for example, Democratic Rep. Gerry Connolly represents a district where 20 years ago, he said, 3% of residents were born outside the U.S. Now, it is nearly 30%, with the majority Asian immigrants.
Asians nationwide voted for Obama in excess of 50% more than Romney, beating the Latino edge of 2-1 for Obama
Some political analysts thought that coalition came together only because of the historic nature of Mr. Obama’s 2008 victory and wouldn’t prove durable. That belief didn’t hold up this week.
What about the Republican Majority in Congress? Here are the US counties where Republican voting INCREASED from 2008 until today.
WTF?
The 2010 election, they said, shows that even with modest inroads among Latino and Asian-American voters, the GOP can build a solid majority on the foundation of its strong white support. Republicans enjoy historically high levels of control over governorships and state legislatures, which they say shows the party’s potential if it can improve its message to minorities.
Twenty years after supporting former President Bill Clinton, a majority of white voters have returned to where they were during the Reagan administration, firmly planted in the Republican camp. Nearly six in 10 white voters told exit pollsters Tuesday that they sided with Republicans, up from 40% during Mr. Clinton’s 1992 presidential victory.
And then HERE IS RUB#1
More striking is the GOP’s loose grip on minority voters: just 29% of Latinos, 25% of Asians and 8% of African-Americans said Tuesday they identified with the Republican Party.
The trend has strengthened the Democrats’ hold in cities and extended a new reach into once-white suburbs now filling with successful Asian and South Asian immigrants, as well as Hispanics.
And here is Rub #2
Mr. Obama scored a big win, for example, in Denver’s Arapahoe County, a bedroom community of family farms and high-tech firms. The county, in turn, helped propel Mr. Obama to victory for the second time in Colorado, formerly a Republican-leaning state.
The presidential election also cast a spotlight on a generational shift under way.
Senior citizens, who swung to the Democrats during the Medicare and Social Security fights of the 1990s, have swerved to Republicans. Close to six in 10 seniors backed Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney, according to exit polls Tuesday, up from the 51% of the group siding with Sen. John McCain in 2008.
The split by age reached even deeper: A majority of voters age 40 and older sided with Mr. Romney. The majority of every younger age group voted for Mr. Obama, according to exit polls.
The answer is to GO LIBERTARIAN, not liberal.
We need a full, RAPID behind closed doors move, head manned by Rubio, new Texas Sen Cruz, and Gov Martinez to KILL the view propounded by Romney on illegal immigration, and create a full path to citizenship which will not be difficult, and calls for border security. American Immigration MUST return to it’s status before 1924. Anything else and these people are ceded to a party which wants to rob people of the fruits of their mind and the work of their hands as the party of  Saint Nick. Choose your pill.
Next, LEGALIZE POT FOR RECREATIONAL USE AND TAX THE HELL OUT OF IT. Get on the issue now. If James Dobson, and his ilk don’t like it, TOUGH. Let them form a third party and see what happens. It may cost the Republican party a FEW national elections, but that third party WILL FAIL, and those voters will choose to win. We cannot let the perfect be the enemy of the good. Meanwhile, dollars pouring in can fortify entitlements, ESPECIALLY since it’s pretty clear the the Senate and Congress cannot deal with this issue and Obamacare is NOT GOING TO BE REPEALED. That fight is OVER.

no Republican presidential candidate has won a majority of voters under age 30 since Mr. Bush in 1988

Polls earlier this year showed cooling interest among young voters in the Obama re-election campaign. But turnout among voters ages 18 to 29, in fact, eclipsed the 2008 election, with nearly 60% siding with the president.
The robust turnout by younger voters boosted Democrats nearly as much as the strong showing among Latinos.Concerns grew Wednesday among some Republicans that the party’s base will be hobbled in national elections if it becomes too old, too rural and too white. “What worries me is that the GOP is about to become the WOP—the White Old Party,” said Norm Coleman, a former Minnesota senator.
Next, FORGET ABORTION as a legal fight. Take the high road and RAISE THE CONSCIOUSNESS of voters on the issue. SUPPORT BIRTH CONTROL INSTEAD. Unless for reason of health or crime, there is no reason for anyone to have an abortion as a NECESSARY MEDICAL PROCEDURE. Prevent conception is the right program. If there is a religious objection to this, then PROVIDE FREE HEALTH CARE AND LIVING FOR THOSE PREGNANT AS A RELIGIOUS DUTY, and then operate adoption centers. 
Return control of education and curricula to LOCAL CONTROL. This is a WINNING argument. Tax funds should NOT be sent to a Washing to which arrogates to itself what to teach and how. These funds should never leave the state. This will get every teachers union thinking about where their formerly LOCKED IN vote should be. Just a first step. Every other teacher told my wife ..”ROMNEY IS NOT FOR EDUCATION”. Teachers, and curricula should reflect the community they exist in, NOT A CENTRAL IDEA which might not (at all) reflect the local needs, wants or aspirations.
We can do NOTHING but resist unless we hold the executive. Resistance is not a policy. It is compulsory to adapt, or admit we die.

THAT IS HOW IT IS


7 comments:

Pastorius said...

I agree, but those are not all the problems.

The problem is those who vote Democrat, especially Obama, are fully prepared to accept the Totalitarianism of Obama and his regime.

Tweaking issues is not going to solve the problem of people who want free stuff in exchange for a President who bypasses Congress, arms our enemies, and ignores Contempt of Congress proceedings.

WC said...

I'm afraid EPA there is something else going on. Why would responsible reasonable people vote for a man that in spite of the MSM propaganda, is a dangerous incompetent and ideologue and a failure as a President. Why would Collen Powell - a military Republican - support Obama because 'He's done a good job". The reason is reverse racism and white guilt - Chris Mathews saying he apologizes for white people who did not vote for Obama. Even if you are non-white and in the Republican Party, you still are considered white - or a house nigger like Alan West. The only hope for a Republican - black, brown or yellow - to win the WH is have the Democrats run a white man or woman against them. I know that sounds horrible but that's the only rational take-away from this election. Rational and responsible people do not vote against their intelligence - but will vote their guilt or race.

Pastorius said...

WC's point is important too, though it is not something that is going to be won through fighting.

Remember, Obama spent the night before the election at the home of the black Pastor who said, "All white people are going to hell" just three weeks ago:

http://ibloga.blogspot.com/2012/11/obama-spent-night-before-election-with.html

Epaminondas said...

"Why would responsible reasonable people vote for a man that in spite of the MSM propaganda, is a dangerous incompetent and ideologue and a failure as a President."

National EXIT POLLS
In Touch With People Like You
Obama is 53%
Romney is 43%


People looking for empathy in a candidate back Obama (81-18 percent).


They LIKE the guy, and more, by excusing his failure, they excuse their own in life. It's a lot easier to do that if you find some excuse you can believe about the guy at the top. I mean how RIDICULOUS is it to blame Bush 4 years later, yet the majority does.

As far as color, I CRINGE when I hear Juan Williams speak. On so many issues he is reasonable, but on Obama ... 4getaboudit, same for Powell. On this they are all Samuel Jackson.

What they regard as solidarity creates suspicion of their opinion on every issue.

Quite sad.

Consider the excoriation Lieberman suffered from Jews over Iraq because he 'strayed'. Quite sad for black opinion makers. Besides Thomas Sowell, Herman Cain, Mia Love and I assume Justice Thomas and a FEW others, it's hard to find reasonable black leadership opposition to Obama.

Epaminondas said...

BTW, the GOP as a party moving behind a simple path to citizenship for those here illegally (along with border security) would be NO TWEAK. Ditto support for getting high on legal pot, and the elimination of federal mandates in education.
On economics, Romney was on the right trak, but go all the way ... FLAT TAX, NO LOOPHOLES, EXEMPTION at the low end. End 90% of the IRS.

Pastorius said...

Here's another thing to look at:

Protein Wisdom:

But here’s the truth of demographics, and it has nothing to do with pandering to Latinos or single women in need of free rubbers or “the middle class”: fewer and fewer people are turning out for national Republican candidates because fewer and fewer people believe that the Republican Party at the national level cares a whit about individual liberty, smaller government, or constitutional first principles. They are dispirited. And they seem particularly averse to polished politicians or long-time Washington insiders.

Epaminondas said...

I think that analysis is absolutely wrong. Fewer people are voting that way because fewer people care about what to them is an ABSTRACT.

To make that personal is the result of proper messaging. To make that EFFECTIVE they have to be on board with the party - otherwise it's rent a voter.

The people who represent protein wisdom analysis are Rand Paul and Michelle Bachman. They couldn't win a goddamned thing.

They are playing Haydn to an audience which is hearing fittycent.

First they have to HEAR.