Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Iranian Hijinks

From Counterterrorismblog

Iran activating its proxies
By Olivier Guitta

Iran is smartly playing its cards, using its main Sunni and Shiite proxy to create havoc in the region and de facto making it stronger. At this point, Iran’s next step is uncertain. But it is quite possible that Hezbollah will decide to open a second front against Israel. Also the destabilization operations against the Sunni regimes in the region hostile to the Islamic Republic are likely to continue unabated. At this point when it comes to terror, all roads lead to Tehran.I wrote an article for the Middle East Times analyzing the current situation.You can read it in full here.

Here is an excerpt:

After the six-month truce with Israel expired on Dec. 19, Hamas decided, or
perhaps was urged, to resume its attacks on Israel. Thus Hamas went on a rampage
campaign, firing rockets at Israel to create terror and death among Israeli
civilians.As could be expected, Israel reacted the way most countries would when
attacked, and to protect its population against a group it considers to be a
terrorist organization.

A new war in the region is likely to benefit only one country: Iran.

Indeed, following the model of the summer 2006 war against Israel triggered by the capture of two Israeli soldiers by the Lebanese Shiite organization, Hezbollah, Iran would benefit with a new front opening up.

This time Iran is turning to using its Sunni arm, Hamas. Contrary to what a number of experts in the region profess, Sunni extremists and Shiite extremists have no problem joining forces against a common enemy and putting aside their age-old rivalries.

While Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, the founder of the Palestinian Resistance Movement, also known as Hamas, was still alive, he refused to Iran's advances time and again. Yassin was adamant not to engage the Shiites. After his death, Hamas became much more open to Tehran's advances. Recently, Iran has become Hamas' main bankroller and as such wants to have a say in what Hamas should or should not do.

1 comment:

Tonto said...

I'm sure Israel is ready for just such an eventuality. Hopefully they won't just play around with them this time and go directly to carpet bombing, napalm and willie pete.