COMPARING ESTIMATES TO HARD NUMBERS: The Coronavirus Fatality Rate Reported by the Media Is Likely Highly Inaccurate

Joe Hoft at Gateway Pundit has a good point here:

3. The current estimate for the coronavirus fatality rate is about 3.4%. 

The estimates for the fatality rate for the coronavirus are shocking. The CDC released one report in February stating the rate varies between 12% and 1%: 

Our estimates of the risk for death in Wuhan reached values as high as 12% in the epicenter of the epidemic and ≈1% in other, more mildly affected areas. 

A report by the World Health Organization (WHO) and China estimates the mortality rate to be around 3.8% based on actual results: 

As of 20 February, 2114 of the 55,924 laboratory confirmed cases have died (crude fatality ratio [CFR2] 3.8%) (note: at least some of whom were identified using a case definition that included pulmonary disease). 

The overall CFR varies by location and intensity of transmission (i.e. 5.8% in Wuhan vs. 0.7% in other areas in China). Other reports are that the WHO estimates the mortality rate to be around 3.4%: 

The World Health Organization (WHO) has estimated the mortality rate from Covid-19 is about 3.4%. That is higher than seasonal flu and is cause for concern – but even if it is correct, more than 96% of people who become infected with the coronavirus will recover. 

As of today, the actual fatality rate for those who were confirmed to have had the coronavirus is 3.84%. This is the number of fatalities from the virus divided by the number of individuals who were confirmed with the virus.  

4. The same rate for the flu is 10% (but the media tells you it’s .1%). 

As The Gateway Pundit reported earlier, according to CDC numbers, in the US in the 2019-2020 flu season, there were 222,000 confirmed cases of the flu from testing and an estimated 36 million flu cases in the United States. There were 22,000 confirmed deaths from the flu. 

Note that the number of deaths and confirmed cases (through testing) of the flu in the US are based on actual data. 

The number of individuals who contracted the flu is an estimate by experts. There is no way to know who had the flu in the US because many cases are not severe and people do not have a test done to confirm they had the flu. They believe their symptoms are minor and go on with their normal lives thinking they have a cold or something similar. 

Because of this, the CDC must estimate and they estimated 36 million people had the flu in this past flu season.

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