All of us, every single man, woman, and child on the face of the Earth were born with the same unalienable rights; to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. And, if the governments of the world can't get that through their thick skulls, then, regime change will be necessary.
Tuesday, October 30, 2012
File under: Someone’s credibility and judgement is REALLY going bye bye
Gallup shows Romney +5% at 51-46, and has not shown Romney below 50% in a while.
Gallup has 3,300 respondents (compared to 500-100 in a normal survey) of those who HAVE already voted, showing Romney 52-47
Gallup shows Romney +2 in Ohio today
Rasmussen shows Romney +2 in Ohio today
The RCP avg for Ohio is locked, STILL, into polls from Time and others over a week old. Is this accurate?
And then ….
Nate Silver, ‘supergenius’, NYT 538 blog, from Politico:
Nate Silver: One-term celebrity?
Nate Silver could be a one-term celebrity.
The New York Times’s resident political predictor says President BarackObamacurrently has a 74.6 percent chance of winning reelection. It’s a prediction that liberals, whose heart rates continue to fluctuate with the release of every new poll, want to take solace in but somehow can’t. Sure, this is the guy who correctly predicted the outcome of the 2008 election in 49 of 50 states, but this year’s polls suggest a nailbiter.“Romney, clearly, could still win,” Silver told POLITICO today.
Prediction is the name of Silver’s game, the basis for his celebrity. So should Mitt Romney win on Nov. 6, it’s difficult to see how people can continue to put faith in the predictions of someone who has never given that candidate anything higher than a 41 percent chance of winning (way back on June 2) and — one week from the election — gives him a one-in-four chance, even as the polls have him almost neck-and-neck with the incumbent.Silver cautions against confusing prediction with prophecy. “If the Giants lead the Redskins 24-21 in the fourth quarter, it’s a close game that either team could win. But it’s also not a “toss-up”: The Giants are favored. It’s the same principle here: Obama is ahead in the polling averages in states like Ohio that would suffice for him to win the Electoral College. Hence, he’s the favorite,” Silver said.
Ahem, have a cup of coffee and get up a little earlier, Nate.
Maybe, just MAYBE, you missed the interception run back for the touchdown while you taking a piss, and then went straight back to that keyboard.