Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Why has Russia only been a major player because of big nukes and dead dinosaurs?

Here is one of their"TOP" analysts:
Tue Nov 25 2008

A leading Russian political analyst has said the economic turmoil in the United States has confirmed his long-held view that the country is heading for collapse, and will divide into separate parts.
WTF is this moron talking about?

Professor Igor Panarin said in an interview with the respected daily IZVESTIA published on Monday: "The dollar is not secured by anything. The country's foreign debt has grown like an avalanche, even though in the early 1980s there was no debt. By 1998, when I first made my prediction, it had exceeded $2 trillion. Now it is more than 11 trillion.
About 9 months of the national GDP

This is a pyramid that can only collapse."

The paper said Panarin's dire predictions for the U.S. economy, initially made at an international conference in Australia 10 years ago at a time when the economy appeared strong, have been given more credence by this year's events.

When asked when the U.S. economy would collapse, Panarin said: "It is already collapsing. Due to the financial crisis, three of the largest and oldest five banks on Wall Street have already ceased to exist, and two are barely surviving. Their losses are the biggest in history. Now what we will see is a change in the regulatory system on a global financial scale: America will no longer be the world's financial regulator."

When asked who would replace the U.S. in regulating world markets, he said: "Two countries could assume this role: China, with its vast reserves, and Russia, which could play the role of a regulator in Eurasia."

Of course Russia's economy depends on commodity prices, and the ability to enforce economic (via oil and gas commodities) and political blackmail, and the demise of demand denudes them of this, and China's vast reserves are nearly totally dependent on the demand of the american consumer. Otherise, no problem.

Asked why he expected the U.S. to break up into separate parts, he said: "A whole range of reasons. Firstly, the financial problems in the U.S. will get worse. Millions of citizens there have lost their savings. Prices and unemployment are on the rise. General Motors and Ford are on the verge of collapse, and this means that whole cities will be left without work. Governors are already insistently demanding money from the federal center.

Dissatisfaction is growing, and at the moment it is only being held back by the elections and the hope that Obama can work miracles.

WTF is this moron talking about?

But by spring, it will be clear that there are no miracles."

He also cited the "vulnerable political setup", "lack of unified national laws", and "divisions among the elite, which have become clear in these crisis conditions."
WTF is this moron talking about?

He predicted that the U.S. will break up into six parts - the Pacific coast, with its growing Chinese population; the South, with its Hispanics; Texas, where independence movements are on the rise; the Atlantic coast, with its distinct and separate mentality; five of the poorer central states with their large Native American populations;
and the northern states, where the influence from Canada is strong.
WTF is this moron talking about?

He even suggested that "we could claim Alaska - it was only granted on lease, after all."

WTF is this moron talking about?
Panarin, 60, is a professor at the Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and has authored several books on information warfare.
BTW, if this moron got his OBVIOUS WISH, all commodity prices on the planet would probably drop 50-70%, and the ensuing financial chaos would probably cause such hunger in Russia the leaders would be barbecued.

No one would like what comes after the USA.

No one.


Anonymous said...

What we has here is an exercise in what the shrinks call "projection". Igor, stop staring in the mirror, find your butt (use both hands if necessary), then turn around until you're facing in that direction.

Favorite line, "the Northern states where the influence of Canada is strong, eh?" Runner up would be the Chinese West Coast.

OK, I'll give him the 52% idiots who think Obama will work miracles. But the predictions of American national break-up shows such a fundamental lack of understanding of this country by one of their "top" analysts can only be compared to, well, the total absence of cluehood about the nature of Islamism to be found in many of ours.

Anonymous said...

Some Russians understand this better than others. Back in 1977 Martha's Vineyard and Nantucket started a secession movement. Somebody at one of Rand's talks asked he what she thought of it.

She grinned at him and said, "I think they're cute."

Pastorius said...

America is a country founded on an idea, that all men are created equal, and have the same unalienable rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.

This pretty much means we can do whatever the fuck we want as long as we don't interfere with other's property.

So, we are a nation founded on that idea, and built on the ideas that proceed from that one central idea. That central idea means we are endlessly creative, and it is the endless creativity which builds America.

And, it is our endless creativity which will keep growing money. Money grows out of ideas. Commodities are fixed ( except insofar as there are flucturations in supply). The price of a commodity only grows as other ideas grow the economy.

An economy based upon commodities is a fixed, or stuck economy.

An economy based on ideas is a growing economy.

Russia and China will collapase.

America and Europe will continue to grow.

SamenoKami said...

I wouldn't bet the farm on America pulling out of this. I don't think it will splinter into 6 pieces, 3 maybe. Four if Texas does something different.

The problem is run-away gov't, gov't controls, gov't spending, gov't debt. I've lost track of the 100s of billions the Treasury/Fed is giving away. At some point that debt-spending HAS to be paid for. We're at $58+ Trillion in unfunded SSI/Medicare/Medicaid promises. $10+ Trillion in admitted debt, plus the $7.5 Trillion just committed for whatever. Just the interest on the debt is $450Billion/yr. That's 1/6 of the '09 budget. That's also w/low interest rates.
Taxes will go up. Our disposable income will go down. 70% of the economy is consumer spending and no disposable income = no economy. There is no way to pay down US debt or have money in reserve w/o the US gov't being fiscally responsible and cutting spending.
Yeah, like that's going to happen.

The plus side is we could have a
$1Billion bill w/Pastorius' picture on it. We could use it to buy 1/2 a loaf of stale bread.

But hey, I'm an optimist.

Epaminondas said...

we're not going anywhere

Anonymous said...

Heh. As I read through that I didn't think this post had any value whatsoever. And as I approached the end, I had one eyebrow higher than Spock's.

But then I read the final six words and I instantly got it. The author is liberally applying the infamous Franklin School's carefully crafted PC ideological WMD otherwise known as "Critical Theory"

What is Critical Theory you say?

Why it's the theory that there is enormous value in simply CRITICIZING everything Western in order to BRING IT DOWN.

The Origins of Political Correctness:


Documentary: The History of Political Correctness parts 1 through 3




Pastorius said...

That's a very keen observation.


Pastorius said...

Something just hit me in the head. I can't figure out if it was a piece of the sky, or my foot going in my mouth.

Anonymous said...

«No one would like what comes after the USA.»