Monday, January 21, 2008

World War IV: 21 Days in August

A year an half ago, I wrote a series of posts on how World War IV could begin through the eyes of a blogger. I started thinking about how the coming world war would play out if we took random opinions and news items and stitched them together portraying, over a 21 day period, one scenario of how World War IV will enfold. Granted there are others, but this one, as an escalation process, I believe is most likely grounded in what pundits are saying the coming war would look like. It's interesting that I had to make so few changes from a year and half ago.

I'll run this scenario over this week. It starts a few years out, but the scenario could begin to unfold tomorrow.

Day One: 4:05 PM PST
This time it’s real. I’m sure of it. And although today’s news coming out of Germany might not be seen as the spark that ignites WWIII, most wars start when people are not ready for it. There’s been other ‘conflicts’ that could have sparked a world war like the war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon a few years back. A cease fire was called when Europe and the US eventually agreed to send in NATO forces as armed peacekeepers in a 20 mile no-mans land in southern Lebanon. But all that just shaped the battlefield, so to speak. Lebanon’s conflict between Israel and Hezbollah made Hezbollah stronger and more popular than ever and resulted with Hezbollah gaining majority power in the election. This and the newly formed Islamic governments in Iraq and Afghanistan helped Iran reach its dream of a Shiite Islamic empire stretching from Pakistan to the Mediterranean. The fall of Syria into the hands of the Shiites and the installation of the new Caliphate completed their goal.

Besides, the war between Israel and Lebanon would not be enough to bring Europe into the conflict which would be necessary for a world war – even though it was reported that NATO forces did have several ‘incidents’ with Hezbollah. Yes, one pundit said that a world war could not begin until France surrendered but in my opinion, Europe’s entry into a world war would come when, and only when, the oil supply to them is cut off.

But that was then, this is now. This latest crises feels different so I’ve decided to start this blog as a diary of events as they happen.

It’s funny that the last two World Wars came out of Germany. And now, it’s happening again. A rape and murder of two German teenagers by, what the European press called ‘North Africans’, brought retaliation by a gang of German youths who firebombed the Multi-Kultur-Haus association center in the southern town of Neu-Ulm in Bavaria and abducted and hung three Muslim males found there. The Multi-Kultur-Haus association was long known for promoting extremist ideas and armed "holy war” so the connection was pretty much understood. The press wrote it off as just another hate crime that has plagued European cities over the last year or so. The rape epidemics by Muslim immigrants that started in Sweden and spread throughout Europe, though not attended by murder, have been reported before.

But what the press did not report was a parchment nailed to the Multi-Kultur-Haus association center’s front door. The attack was claimed by Nationale Liste, a once banned now reconstituted neo-Nazi group, whose agenda was to rid Germany of the Muslim immigrant scourge. "Deutschland für Deutscher - Ausländer Raus!" - Germany for Germans - Foreigners out – was written in bold letters on the parchment and threatened to attack more immigrant hostels throughout the country as they did in the previous few months.

Though not revealed publicly, but posted on the Danish blog On the Wing, German and EU officials feared that this retaliation and the future threats against immigrants were not like those of the past. Here was a group that freely admitted this attack and those over the last few months. On the Wing reported that this was not a knee-jerk reaction of some isolated crazed individuals as the main stream press was reporting. They were organized.

Read the rest at The Gathering Storm.

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